Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Maldon Tiptree FC vs AFC Whyteleafe

Team pages: Maldon Tiptree FC · AFC Whyteleafe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Maldon Tiptree FC1.75

AFC Whyteleafe1.71

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Maldon Tiptree FC Draw AFC Whyteleafe

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Maldon Tiptree FC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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AFC Whyteleafe 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maldon Tiptree FC 1407 · AFC Whyteleafe 1423

	Maldon Tiptree FC	Draw	AFC Whyteleafe
Our model	39%	24%	37%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maldon Tiptree FC	AFC Whyteleafe
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.7	1.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 2.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.5	1.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.5	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +3’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	9	7	0	2	19	9	21
2	Dartford	9	7	0	2	15	9	21
3	Carshalton Ath	11	7	0	4	18	19	21
4	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15	11	19
5	Enfield Town	8	6	0	2	23	11	18
6	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
7	Eastbourne Borough	9	5	1	3	18	11	16
8	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
9	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
10	Ramsgate	9	4	1	4	21	13	13
11	Burgess Hill Town	8	3	4	1	15	10	13
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
13	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
14	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
15	Aveley	9	3	1	5	16	16	10
16	Brentwood Town	9	3	0	6	15	16	9
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	10	3	0	7	14	30	9
18	Cheshunt	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
19	AFC Whyteleafe	10	1	3	6	11	20	6
20	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
22	Stanway Rovers	8	1	1	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maldon Tiptree FC	AFC Whyteleafe
Welling	0-1 L	0-1 L
Burgess Hill Town	1-4 L	0-3 L
Brentwood Town	1-5 L	1-2 L
Ramsgate	0-2 L	1-5 L
Whitehawk	3-2 W	1-4 L
Leatherhead	4-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Maldon Tiptree FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Maldon Tiptree FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	0-3	1-5	4	4	L
26/09	Egham England FA Trophy	–	0-2	–	–	L
22/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-5	5	2	L
19/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/09	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L

AFC Whyteleafe

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
30/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
26/09	Whitehawk England FA Trophy	–	1-4	–	–	L
15/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
12/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-5	–	–	L
29/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maldon Tiptree FC vs AFC Whyteleafe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maldon Tiptree FC win (38%). Probabilities: Maldon Tiptree FC 38%, draw 25%, AFC Whyteleafe 37%.

How many goals are expected in Maldon Tiptree FC vs AFC Whyteleafe?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Maldon Tiptree FC 1.75 · AFC Whyteleafe 1.71), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Maldon Tiptree FC vs AFC Whyteleafe?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.