Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Lewes vs Whitehawk

Team pages: Lewes · Whitehawk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Lewes2.01

Whitehawk1.28

1X2

53% 23% 23%

Lewes Draw Whitehawk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Lewes 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLWLL

Whitehawk 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLDLWWL

Head-to-head

Lewes 2–2–2 Whitehawk (6 last)

Whitehawk0-0Lewes
Lewes3-0Whitehawk
Whitehawk3-1Lewes
Whitehawk2-1Lewes
Lewes2-1Whitehawk
Lewes1-1Whitehawk

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lewes (rating 1501 vs 1446).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lewes	Whitehawk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	– / –	1 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	//%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	0.5 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62
X	4.09 → 4.09	Pinn 4.09
2	4.11 → 4.11	Pinn 4.11

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:13 +3’	1.62	4.09	4.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lewes 2–2–2 Whitehawk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Whitehawk	0-0	Lewes
06/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	3-0 HT 1-0	Whitehawk
24/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Whitehawk	3-1	Lewes
21/01/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Whitehawk	2-1 HT 0-0	Lewes
26/08/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Lewes	2-1 HT 0-1	Whitehawk
01/04/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Lewes	1-1 HT 0-0	Whitehawk

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dartford	9	7	0	2	15	9	21
2	Enfield Town	8	6	0	2	23	11	18
3	Welling	8	6	0	2	18	9	18
4	Carshalton Ath	9	6	0	3	15	13	18
5	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
6	Lewes	9	5	1	3	14	11	16
7	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
8	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
9	Ramsgate	8	4	1	3	19	10	13
10	Eastbourne Borough	8	4	1	3	14	11	13
11	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
12	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
13	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
14	Burgess Hill Town	7	2	4	1	11	9	10
15	Aveley	9	3	1	5	16	16	10
16	Brentwood Town	9	3	0	6	15	16	9
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	9	3	0	6	13	26	9
18	Cheshunt	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
19	AFC Whyteleafe	9	1	3	5	11	19	6
20	Whitehawk	9	1	2	6	10	21	5
21	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
22	Stanway Rovers	8	1	1	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lewes	Whitehawk
Chatham Town	2-3 L	0-3 L
Aveley	2-0 W	2-3 L
AFC Whyteleafe	3-1 W	4-1 W
Enfield Town	0-4 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lewes (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lewes

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Uxbridge England FA Trophy	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L

Whitehawk

LDLLLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
26/09	AFC Whyteleafe England FA Trophy	–	4-1	–	–	W
15/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-3	1-5	1	3	L
22/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lewes vs Whitehawk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lewes win (53%). Probabilities: Lewes 53%, draw 23%, Whitehawk 23%.

How many goals are expected in Lewes vs Whitehawk?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Lewes 2.01 · Whitehawk 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lewes vs Whitehawk?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.