Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Cray Wanderers vs Lewes

Team pages: Cray Wanderers · Lewes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Cray Wanderers1.64

Lewes1.41

1X2

42% 25% 32%

Cray Wanderers Draw Lewes

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cray Wanderers 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWLDDW

Lewes 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Cray Wanderers 2–2–2 Lewes (6 last)

Cray Wanderers1-0Lewes
Lewes2-2Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers3-0Lewes
Lewes2-2Cray Wanderers
Lewes4-3Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers1-3Lewes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cray Wanderers 1567 · Lewes 1515

	Cray Wanderers	Draw	Lewes
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cray Wanderers (rating 1567 vs 1515).
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cray Wanderers	Lewes
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	4 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.5	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +2’	2.10	3.60	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cray Wanderers 2–2–2 Lewes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/09/26 England FA Cup	Cray Wanderers	1-0	Lewes
05/09/26 England FA Cup	Lewes	2-2	Cray Wanderers
11/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	3-0 HT 1-0	Lewes
06/09/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	2-2 HT 2-0	Cray Wanderers
26/04/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	4-3	Cray Wanderers
24/08/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	1-3	Lewes

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	9	7	0	2	19	9	21
2	Dartford	9	7	0	2	15	9	21
3	Carshalton Ath	11	7	0	4	18	19	21
4	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15	11	19
5	Enfield Town	8	6	0	2	23	11	18
6	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
7	Eastbourne Borough	9	5	1	3	18	11	16
8	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
9	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
10	Ramsgate	9	4	1	4	21	13	13
11	Burgess Hill Town	8	3	4	1	15	10	13
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
13	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
14	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
15	Aveley	9	3	1	5	16	16	10
16	Brentwood Town	9	3	0	6	15	16	9
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	10	3	0	7	14	30	9
18	Cheshunt	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
19	AFC Whyteleafe	10	1	3	6	11	20	6
20	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
22	Stanway Rovers	8	1	1	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cray Wanderers	Lewes
Cheshunt	1-1 D	1-3 L
St Albans	3-3 D	2-0 W
Eastbourne Borough	2-1 W	1-0 W
Carshalton Ath	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lewes (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cray Wanderers

LDDLWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	3-0	5-1	4	4	W
26/09	Cheshunt England FA Trophy	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	3-3	7	3	D
12/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-4	–	–	L

Lewes

DWWWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
26/09	Uxbridge England FA Trophy	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cray Wanderers vs Lewes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cray Wanderers win (42%). Probabilities: Cray Wanderers 42%, draw 25%, Lewes 32%.

How many goals are expected in Cray Wanderers vs Lewes?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Cray Wanderers 1.64 · Lewes 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cray Wanderers vs Lewes?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.