Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Eastbourne Borough vs Welling

Team pages: Eastbourne Borough · Welling

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Eastbourne Borough1.71

Welling1.42

1X2

44% 26% 31%

Eastbourne Borough Draw Welling

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Eastbourne Borough 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLWWWW

Welling 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Eastbourne Borough 3–1–2 Welling (6 last)

Eastbourne Borough4-1Welling
Welling0-1Eastbourne Borough
Welling0-2Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough2-2Welling
Welling1-0Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough0-1Welling

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eastbourne Borough 1581 · Welling 1558

	Eastbourne Borough	Draw	Welling
Our model	44%	26%	31%
Market	44%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Eastbourne Borough: 3-1-2.
High corners: 21.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eastbourne Borough	Welling
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	9 / 15	4.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +2’	2.05	3.50	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastbourne Borough 3–1–2 Welling

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/11/24 England National League South	Eastbourne Borough	4-1 HT 0-1	Welling
12/10/24 England National League South	Welling	0-1 HT 0-1	Eastbourne Borough
16/12/23 England National League South	Welling	0-2 HT 0-1	Eastbourne Borough
23/09/23 England National League South	Eastbourne Borough	2-2 HT 1-0	Welling
10/04/23 England National League South	Welling	1-0 HT 1-0	Eastbourne Borough
13/09/22 England National League South	Eastbourne Borough	0-1 HT 0-0	Welling

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	9	7	0	2	19	9	21
2	Dartford	9	7	0	2	15	9	21
3	Carshalton Ath	11	7	0	4	18	19	21
4	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15	11	19
5	Enfield Town	8	6	0	2	23	11	18
6	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
7	Eastbourne Borough	9	5	1	3	18	11	16
8	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
9	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
10	Ramsgate	9	4	1	4	21	13	13
11	Burgess Hill Town	8	3	4	1	15	10	13
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
13	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
14	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
15	Aveley	9	3	1	5	16	16	10
16	Brentwood Town	9	3	0	6	15	16	9
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	10	3	0	7	14	30	9
18	Cheshunt	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
19	AFC Whyteleafe	10	1	3	6	11	20	6
20	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
22	Stanway Rovers	8	1	1	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eastbourne Borough	Welling
Cheshunt	3-0 W	2-0 W
Leatherhead	0-1 L	1-4 L
Cray Wanderers	1-2 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Eastbourne Borough (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eastbourne Borough

DWWLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	15	3	W
26/09	Welwyn Garden City England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W
15/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
11/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D

Welling

WLWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	4-1	10	2	W
31/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
22/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
11/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
08/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eastbourne Borough vs Welling?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastbourne Borough win (44%). Probabilities: Eastbourne Borough 44%, draw 26%, Welling 31%.

How many goals are expected in Eastbourne Borough vs Welling?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Eastbourne Borough 1.71 · Welling 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Eastbourne Borough vs Welling?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.