Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Carshalton Ath vs St Albans

Team pages: Carshalton Ath · St Albans

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Carshalton Ath1.42

St Albans1.66

1X2

32% 25% 42%

Carshalton Ath Draw St Albans

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Carshalton Ath 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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St Albans 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Carshalton Ath 1–1 St Albans (2 last)

Carshalton Ath1-0St Albans
St Albans2-1Carshalton Ath

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carshalton Ath 1501 · St Albans 1559

	Carshalton Ath	Draw	St Albans
Our model	32%	26%	42%
Market	33%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Albans (rating 1501 vs 1559).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carshalton Ath	St Albans
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/0/67%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +2’	2.75	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carshalton Ath 1–0–1 St Albans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	1-0	St Albans
22/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	St Albans	2-1	Carshalton Ath

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	9	7	0	2	19	9	21
2	Dartford	9	7	0	2	15	9	21
3	Carshalton Ath	11	7	0	4	18	19	21
4	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15	11	19
5	Enfield Town	8	6	0	2	23	11	18
6	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
7	Eastbourne Borough	9	5	1	3	18	11	16
8	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
9	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
10	Ramsgate	9	4	1	4	21	13	13
11	Burgess Hill Town	8	3	4	1	15	10	13
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
13	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
14	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
15	Aveley	9	3	1	5	16	16	10
16	Brentwood Town	9	3	0	6	15	16	9
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	10	3	0	7	14	30	9
18	Cheshunt	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
19	AFC Whyteleafe	10	1	3	6	11	20	6
20	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
22	Stanway Rovers	8	1	1	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carshalton Ath	St Albans
Ramsgate	3-2 W	0-4 L
Lewes	0-3 L	0-2 L
Three Bridges	2-3 L	4-0 W
Stanway Rovers	2-1 W	4-1 W
Cray Wanderers	2-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: St Albans (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Carshalton Ath

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	0	3	L
03/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-3	1	5	L
31/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	8	5	W
22/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W

St Albans

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Bury Town England FA Trophy	–	4-1	–	–	W
15/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	3-3	6	3	D
12/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
29/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
15/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
25/04	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carshalton Ath vs St Albans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an St Albans win (42%). Probabilities: Carshalton Ath 32%, draw 25%, St Albans 42%.

How many goals are expected in Carshalton Ath vs St Albans?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Carshalton Ath 1.42 · St Albans 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Carshalton Ath vs St Albans?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.