Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Dartford vs Eastbourne Borough

Team pages: Dartford · Eastbourne Borough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Dartford1.36

Eastbourne Borough1.29

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Dartford Draw Eastbourne Borough

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Dartford 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLLLW

Eastbourne Borough 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Dartford 3–1–2 Eastbourne Borough (6 last)

Dartford1-0Eastbourne Borough
Dartford0-2Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough1-1Dartford
Eastbourne Borough2-1Dartford
Dartford2-1Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough2-7Dartford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dartford 1543 · Eastbourne Borough 1586

	Dartford	Draw	Eastbourne Borough
Our model	37%	29%	34%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastbourne Borough (rating 1543 vs 1586).
H2H favours Dartford: 3-1-2.
High corners: 20.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dartford	Eastbourne Borough
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.7 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.9	9 / 15
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
11:13 +3’	2.30	3.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dartford 3–1–2 Eastbourne Borough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/25 UK Friendlies	Dartford	1-0 HT 1-0	Eastbourne Borough
01/04/24 England National League South	Dartford	0-2 HT 0-1	Eastbourne Borough
24/10/23 England National League South	Eastbourne Borough	1-1 HT 0-0	Dartford
07/04/23 England National League South	Eastbourne Borough	2-1 HT 0-1	Dartford
27/09/22 England National League South	Dartford	2-1 HT 1-1	Eastbourne Borough
07/05/22 England National League South	Eastbourne Borough	2-7 HT 1-3	Dartford

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	14	10	1	3	26	12	31
4	Lewes	15	8	3	4	23	18	27
5	Dartford	15	9	0	6	24	22	27
6	St Albans	12	7	2	3	24	16	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	14	6	4	4	27	26	22
9	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
10	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
11	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
12	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
13	Burgess Hill Town	15	5	6	4	25	27	21
14	Aveley	15	6	2	7	25	24	20
15	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
16	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	14	5	0	9	24	27	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	15	2	1	12	14	40	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dartford	Eastbourne Borough
Lewes	2-1 W	0-1 L
Ramsgate	1-2 L	2-0 W
Carshalton Ath	3-0 W	4-0 W
Chatham Town	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Eastbourne Borough (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dartford

WWWWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	2-1	4	1	W
31/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-4	–	–	L
20/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
10/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
06/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-2	5	2	L
29/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
15/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
12/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	2	W

Eastbourne Borough

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
20/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	15	3	W
15/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dartford vs Eastbourne Borough?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dartford win (38%). Probabilities: Dartford 38%, draw 27%, Eastbourne Borough 35%.

How many goals are expected in Dartford vs Eastbourne Borough?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Dartford 1.36 · Eastbourne Borough 1.29), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dartford vs Eastbourne Borough?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.