Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: AFC Whyteleafe vs Chatham Town

Team pages: AFC Whyteleafe · Chatham Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

AFC Whyteleafe1.49

Chatham Town1.72

1X2

33% 25% 43%

AFC Whyteleafe Draw Chatham Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Whyteleafe 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Chatham Town 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Whyteleafe 1530 · Chatham Town 1472

	AFC Whyteleafe	Draw	Chatham Town
Our model	32%	25%	42%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Whyteleafe (rating 1530 vs 1472).
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Whyteleafe	Chatham Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/43/14%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	3.3 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.70

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
11:35 +33’	2.75	3.70	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	16	12	1	3	45	18	37
2	Welling	17	12	1	4	36	18	37
3	Eastbourne Borough	16	11	1	4	31	18	34
4	Dartford	16	10	0	6	28	23	30
5	Lewes	17	9	3	5	26	22	30
6	Ramsgate	15	8	1	6	33	19	25
7	Carshalton Ath	17	8	1	8	27	34	25
8	Leatherhead	14	7	3	4	28	21	24
9	St Albans	13	7	2	4	25	19	23
10	Chatham Town	16	7	1	8	28	25	22
11	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	28	29	22
12	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	26	28	22
13	AFC Whyteleafe	16	6	3	7	28	27	21
14	Dulwich	17	6	3	8	29	33	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	25	28	20
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	18	6	2	10	26	40	20
17	Cray Wanderers	11	5	3	3	25	15	18
18	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	19	27	18
19	Brentwood Town	15	5	1	9	25	28	16
20	Three Bridges	16	2	4	10	25	42	10
21	Whitehawk	17	1	5	11	16	39	8
22	Stanway Rovers	16	2	2	12	14	40	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Whyteleafe	Chatham Town
Enfield Town	2-0 W	0-4 L
Dulwich	4-2 W	4-0 W
Burgess Hill Town	2-3 L	1-1 D
Welling	0-1 L	3-2 W
Brentwood Town	1-2 L	3-0 W
Leatherhead	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chatham Town (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Whyteleafe

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	4-2	5	4	W
21/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	2-2	2-3	6	3	L
17/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
14/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
10/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
30/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
15/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
12/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W

Chatham Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	15	2	L
07/11	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
27/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	3	5	L
24/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
20/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	6	0	W
17/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Whyteleafe vs Chatham Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chatham Town win (43%). Probabilities: AFC Whyteleafe 33%, draw 25%, Chatham Town 43%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Whyteleafe vs Chatham Town?

The model expects 3.21 goals (AFC Whyteleafe 1.49 · Chatham Town 1.72), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Whyteleafe vs Chatham Town?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.