Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Ramsgate vs Aveley

Team pages: Ramsgate · Aveley

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Ramsgate1.59

Aveley1.57

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Ramsgate Draw Aveley

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Ramsgate 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWWLWL

Aveley 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDWLWW

Head-to-head

Ramsgate 0–1–1 Aveley (2 last)

Ramsgate1-1Aveley
Aveley5-0Ramsgate

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ramsgate 1521 · Aveley 1496

	Ramsgate	Draw	Aveley
Our model	38%	26%	37%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ramsgate	Aveley
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.3	3.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:37 +40’	2.35	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ramsgate 0–1–1 Aveley

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Ramsgate	1-1	Aveley
01/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Aveley	5-0	Ramsgate

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	14	10	1	3	26	12	31
4	Lewes	15	8	3	4	23	18	27
5	Dartford	15	9	0	6	24	22	27
6	St Albans	12	7	2	3	24	16	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	14	6	4	4	27	26	22
9	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
10	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
11	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
12	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
13	Burgess Hill Town	15	5	6	4	25	27	21
14	Aveley	15	6	2	7	25	24	20
15	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
16	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	14	5	0	9	24	27	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	15	2	1	12	14	40	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ramsgate	Aveley
Stanway Rovers	2-0 W	2-0 W
Wingate & Finchley	0-2 L	3-4 L
Dartford	2-1 W	4-3 W
Maldon Tiptree FC	2-0 W	1-2 L
Burgess Hill Town	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ramsgate

LWDWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
13/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
10/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
06/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	2-1	1	2	W
03/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	5-1	–	–	W
29/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	0	2	L

Aveley

WLLLLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
31/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-3	–	–	W
19/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
17/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-2	6	0	L
29/09	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
14/09	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	3-4	11	6	L
12/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
31/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ramsgate vs Aveley?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ramsgate win (38%). Probabilities: Ramsgate 38%, draw 25%, Aveley 37%.

How many goals are expected in Ramsgate vs Aveley?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Ramsgate 1.59 · Aveley 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ramsgate vs Aveley?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.