Football · England Southern Premier League South · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Evesham United vs Frome Town
Team pages: Evesham United · Frome Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Evesham United1.32
Frome Town1.32
1X2
Evesham United
Draw
Frome Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Evesham United
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Frome Town
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Evesham United
0–2
Frome Town
(2 last)
- Frome Town3-2Evesham United
- Frome Town1-0Evesham United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evesham United 1481 · Frome Town 1599
| Evesham United | Draw | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frome Town (rating 1481 vs 1599).
- H2H favours Frome Town: 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Evesham United | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/17/33% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.7 | 2.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Evesham United 0–0–2 Frome Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/23 England Southern League Division One | Frome Town | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Evesham United |
| 02/11/16 England FA Trophy | Frome Town | 1-0 | Evesham United |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sholing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gloucester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evesham United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Bishops Cleeve UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Sporting Club Inkberrow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Cheltenham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Worcester City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Caerau Ely Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Redditch Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frome Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Weymouth Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Salisbury FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Worthing Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Swindon Supermarine Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Buckland Athletic Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/07 | Radstock Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Didcot Town England Southern League Div One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/01 | Willand Rovers England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/12 | Swindon Supermarine England Southern League Div One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evesham United vs Frome Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Evesham United win (37%). Probabilities: Evesham United 37%, draw 27%, Frome Town 37%.
How many goals are expected in Evesham United vs Frome Town?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Evesham United 1.32 · Frome Town 1.32), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Evesham United vs Frome Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.