Football · England Southern Premier League South · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Poole Town vs Sholing
Team pages: Poole Town · Sholing
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Poole Town1.42
Sholing1.16
1X2
Poole Town
Draw
Sholing
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Poole Town
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Sholing
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Poole Town
1–1–4
Sholing
(6 last)
- Poole Town0-1Sholing
- Sholing4-1Poole Town
- Poole Town2-0Sholing
- Sholing0-0Poole Town
- Poole Town0-3Sholing
- Sholing2-0Poole Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Poole Town 1519 · Sholing 1491
| Poole Town | Draw | Sholing | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sholing: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Poole Town | Sholing | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.5 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Poole Town 1–1–4 Sholing
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 0-1 | Sholing |
| 12/08/25 England Southern Premier League South | Sholing | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Poole Town |
| 22/03/25 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 2-0 | Sholing |
| 12/10/24 England Southern Premier League South | Sholing | 0-0 | Poole Town |
| 23/03/24 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 0-3 | Sholing |
| 25/11/23 England Southern Premier League South | Sholing | 2-0 | Poole Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sholing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gloucester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Poole Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Eastleigh Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Sholing
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | AFC Totton Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Folkestone Invicta Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Woking Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | AFC Totton Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Dorchester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Poole Town vs Sholing?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Poole Town win (42%). Probabilities: Poole Town 42%, draw 27%, Sholing 30%.
How many goals are expected in Poole Town vs Sholing?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Poole Town 1.42 · Sholing 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Poole Town vs Sholing?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.