Football · England Southern Premier League South · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Gloucester vs Hanwell Town
Team pages: Gloucester · Hanwell Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Gloucester1.91
Hanwell Town1
1X2
Gloucester
Draw
Hanwell Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gloucester
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Hanwell Town
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gloucester
3–1–0
Hanwell Town
(4 last)
- Hanwell Town1-2Gloucester
- Gloucester3-0Hanwell Town
- Gloucester5-0Hanwell Town
- Hanwell Town0-0Gloucester
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gloucester 1534 · Hanwell Town 1475
| Gloucester | Draw | Hanwell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloucester (rating 1534 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Gloucester: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gloucester | Hanwell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/57/14% | 43/29/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.7 | 2.9 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gloucester 3–1–0 Hanwell Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Gloucester |
| 23/08/25 England Southern Premier League South | Gloucester | 3-0 | Hanwell Town |
| 15/03/25 England Southern Premier League South | Gloucester | 5-0 | Hanwell Town |
| 21/09/24 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gloucester |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Bath City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Frome Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Taunton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Hanworth Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Evesham United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Hanwell Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Plymouth Parkway | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Sholing | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chippenham Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Berkhamsted | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Poole Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Chichester City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Gosport Borough | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Wimborne Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gloucester
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Weston Super Mare UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Barry Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Haverfordwest County UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Newport County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/07 | Bristol Manor Farm Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
Hanwell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Weymouth England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gloucester vs Hanwell Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gloucester win (58%). Probabilities: Gloucester 58%, draw 23%, Hanwell Town 19%.
How many goals are expected in Gloucester vs Hanwell Town?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Gloucester 1.91 · Hanwell Town 1), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Gloucester vs Hanwell Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.