Football · England Southern Premier League South · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Plymouth Parkway vs Havant and W
Team pages: Plymouth Parkway · Havant and W
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Plymouth Parkway1.94
Havant and W1.63
1X2
Plymouth Parkway
Draw
Havant and W
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Plymouth Parkway
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Havant and W
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Plymouth Parkway
1–2–1
Havant and W
(4 last)
- Plymouth Parkway3-3Havant and W
- Havant and W1-0Plymouth Parkway
- Plymouth Parkway2-1Havant and W
- Havant and W1-1Plymouth Parkway
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Plymouth Parkway 1512 · Havant and W 1464
| Plymouth Parkway | Draw | Havant and W | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plymouth Parkway (rating 1512 vs 1464).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Plymouth Parkway | Havant and W | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Plymouth Parkway 1–2–1 Havant and W
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England Southern Premier League South | Plymouth Parkway | 3-3 | Havant and W |
| 06/09/25 England Southern Premier League South | Havant and W | 1-0 | Plymouth Parkway |
| 28/12/24 England Southern Premier League South | Plymouth Parkway | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Havant and W |
| 17/08/24 England Southern Premier League South | Havant and W | 1-1 | Plymouth Parkway |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Bath City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Frome Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Taunton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Hanworth Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Evesham United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Hanwell Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Plymouth Parkway | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Sholing | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chippenham Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Berkhamsted | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Poole Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Chichester City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Gosport Borough | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Wimborne Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Plymouth Parkway
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Truro City Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Torquay UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Plymouth UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 6-3 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Havant and W
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Salisbury FC UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Bognor Regis Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Plymouth Parkway vs Havant and W?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Plymouth Parkway win (44%). Probabilities: Plymouth Parkway 44%, draw 24%, Havant and W 32%.
How many goals are expected in Plymouth Parkway vs Havant and W?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Plymouth Parkway 1.94 · Havant and W 1.63), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Havant and W?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.