Football · England Southern Premier League South · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Sholing vs Chertsey Town
Team pages: Sholing · Chertsey Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Sholing1.59
Chertsey Town1.17
1X2
Sholing
Draw
Chertsey Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sholing
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Chertsey Town
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sholing
2–1–1
Chertsey Town
(4 last)
- Sholing4-0Chertsey Town
- Chertsey Town1-1Sholing
- Sholing3-0Chertsey Town
- Chertsey Town4-0Sholing
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sholing 1505 · Chertsey Town 1533
| Sholing | Draw | Chertsey Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sholing: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sholing | Chertsey Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 33/50/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 2 | 3.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sholing 2–1–1 Chertsey Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England Southern Premier League South | Sholing | 4-0 | Chertsey Town |
| 21/10/25 England Southern Premier League South | Chertsey Town | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sholing |
| 15/02/25 England Southern Premier League South | Sholing | 3-0 | Chertsey Town |
| 22/10/24 England Southern Premier League South | Chertsey Town | 4-0 | Sholing |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Bath City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Frome Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Taunton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Hanworth Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Evesham United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Hanwell Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Plymouth Parkway | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Sholing | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chippenham Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Berkhamsted | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Poole Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Chichester City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Gosport Borough | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Wimborne Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sholing
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | AFC Totton Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Folkestone Invicta Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Woking Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | AFC Totton Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Dorchester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Chertsey Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/08 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Westfield UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/07 | Chesham UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Hampton & Richmond UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 21/07 | Wealdstone UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Weymouth England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sholing vs Chertsey Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sholing win (47%). Probabilities: Sholing 47%, draw 26%, Chertsey Town 28%.
How many goals are expected in Sholing vs Chertsey Town?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Sholing 1.59 · Chertsey Town 1.17), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sholing vs Chertsey Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.