Football · England Southern Premier League South · 31/08, 16:00

Prediction: Basingstoke vs Bracknell Town

Team pages: Basingstoke · Bracknell Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Basingstoke2.05

Bracknell Town1.92

1X2

41% 24% 35%

Basingstoke Draw Bracknell Town

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Basingstoke 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLWDL

Bracknell Town 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLWDLW

Head-to-head

Basingstoke 1–2–3 Bracknell Town (6 last)

Basingstoke2-1Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town3-2Basingstoke
Bracknell Town1-1Basingstoke
Basingstoke1-1Bracknell Town
Basingstoke1-3Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town4-0Basingstoke

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Basingstoke 1506 · Bracknell Town 1482

	Basingstoke	Draw	Bracknell Town
Our model	42%	22%	36%
Market	40%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bracknell Town: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Basingstoke	Bracknell Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	2.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.5	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7	0 / 1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:51 +10’	2.25	3.50	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Basingstoke 1–2–3 Bracknell Town

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Basingstoke	2-1	Bracknell Town
25/08/25 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	3-2	Basingstoke
01/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	1-1	Basingstoke
26/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Basingstoke	1-1	Bracknell Town
06/04/24 England Southern Premier League South	Basingstoke	1-3	Bracknell Town
17/10/23 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	4-0 HT 2-0	Basingstoke

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	5	4	1	0	12	6	13
2	Plymouth Parkway	5	3	1	1	15	6	10
3	Chertsey Town	5	3	1	1	11	6	10
4	Hanworth Villa	5	3	1	1	7	2	10
5	Frome Town	5	3	0	2	9	4	9
6	Chichester City	5	3	0	2	8	5	9
7	Taunton Town	5	3	0	2	15	13	9
8	Poole Town	5	3	0	2	7	7	9
9	Bath City	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
9	Yate Town	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
11	Gosport Borough	5	2	1	2	7	6	7
12	Bracknell Town	5	2	1	2	7	12	7
13	Berkhamsted	5	2	0	3	8	10	6
14	Evesham United	5	2	0	3	9	13	6
15	Wimborne Town	5	1	2	2	4	4	5
16	Gloucester	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
17	Hanwell Town	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
18	Basingstoke	5	1	1	3	9	11	4
19	Havant and W	5	1	1	3	5	9	4
19	Sholing	5	1	1	3	5	9	4
21	Chippenham Town	5	1	1	3	5	11	4
22	Malvern Town	5	0	2	3	6	14	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Basingstoke	Bracknell Town
Taunton Town	3-4 L	0-2 L
Tiverton Town	3-1 W	8-0 W
Sholing	1-0 W	3-1 W
Plymouth Parkway	0-3 L	0-7 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Basingstoke

LWWWLLLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-4	–	–	L
22/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-2	9	3	L
08/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L
25/04	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
11/04	Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/04	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/04	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-3	5	3	L

Bracknell Town

LWWLDLWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	1-1	3-2	1	5	W
08/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-7	–	–	L
25/04	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
18/04	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	8-0	–	–	W
06/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/04	Weymouth England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Basingstoke vs Bracknell Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Basingstoke win (41%). Probabilities: Basingstoke 41%, draw 24%, Bracknell Town 35%.

How many goals are expected in Basingstoke vs Bracknell Town?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Basingstoke 2.05 · Bracknell Town 1.92), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Basingstoke vs Bracknell Town?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.