Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town
Team pages: Whitehawk · Burgess Hill Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Whitehawk1.5
Burgess Hill Town1.77
1X2
Whitehawk
Draw
Burgess Hill Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Whitehawk
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Burgess Hill Town
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Whitehawk
3–1–1
Burgess Hill Town
(5 last)
- Whitehawk3-1Burgess Hill Town
- Burgess Hill Town2-2Whitehawk
- Whitehawk4-1Burgess Hill Town
- Burgess Hill Town2-4Whitehawk
- Burgess Hill Town2-1Whitehawk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Whitehawk 1481 · Burgess Hill Town 1490
| Whitehawk | Draw | Burgess Hill Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Whitehawk: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Whitehawk | Burgess Hill Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.6 / 2.4 | 2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Whitehawk 3–1–1 Burgess Hill Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Whitehawk | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Burgess Hill Town |
| 18/10/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Burgess Hill Town | 2-2 | Whitehawk |
| 19/02/19 England Isthmian Premier Division | Whitehawk | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Burgess Hill Town |
| 01/09/18 England Isthmian Premier Division | Burgess Hill Town | 2-4 | Whitehawk |
| 20/07/17 Club Friendly List | Burgess Hill Town | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Whitehawk |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Welling | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Leatherhead | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Lewes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Chatham Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | St Albans | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Dartford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Wingate & Finchley | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Dulwich | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Aveley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Eastbourne Borough | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Ramsgate | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 16 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 17 | Cheshunt | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Brentwood Town | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | AFC Whyteleafe | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 2 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 1 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Whitehawk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
Burgess Hill Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Burgess Hill Town win (43%). Probabilities: Whitehawk 32%, draw 25%, Burgess Hill Town 43%.
How many goals are expected in Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Whitehawk 1.5 · Burgess Hill Town 1.77), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.