Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: Dartford vs Chatham Town
Team pages: Dartford · Chatham Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Dartford1.62
Chatham Town1.67
1X2
Dartford
Draw
Chatham Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Dartford
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Chatham Town
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dartford
4–0
Chatham Town
(4 last)
- Dartford3-2Chatham Town
- Chatham Town1-2Dartford
- Chatham Town0-2Dartford
- Dartford3-1Chatham Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dartford 1547 · Chatham Town 1500
| Dartford | Draw | Chatham Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dartford (rating 1547 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Dartford: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dartford | Chatham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 2.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dartford 4–0–0 Chatham Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Dartford | 3-2 | Chatham Town |
| 27/12/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Chatham Town | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Dartford |
| 01/01/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Chatham Town | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Dartford |
| 26/08/24 England Ryman Premier Division | Dartford | 3-1 | Chatham Town |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Welling | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Leatherhead | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Lewes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Chatham Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | St Albans | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Dartford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Wingate & Finchley | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Dulwich | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Aveley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Eastbourne Borough | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Ramsgate | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 16 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 17 | Cheshunt | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Brentwood Town | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | AFC Whyteleafe | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 2 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 1 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dartford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
Chatham Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dartford vs Chatham Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chatham Town win (38%). Probabilities: Dartford 36%, draw 25%, Chatham Town 38%.
How many goals are expected in Dartford vs Chatham Town?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Dartford 1.62 · Chatham Town 1.67), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dartford vs Chatham Town?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.