Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Welling vs Ramsgate
Team pages: Welling · Ramsgate
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Welling1.77
Ramsgate1.61
1X2
Welling
Draw
Ramsgate
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Welling
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Ramsgate
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Welling
1–1
Ramsgate
(2 last)
- Ramsgate1-2Welling
- Welling1-4Ramsgate
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Welling 1529 · Ramsgate 1479
| Welling | Draw | Ramsgate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Welling (rating 1529 vs 1479).
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Welling | Ramsgate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Welling 1–0–1 Ramsgate
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Ramsgate | 1-2 | Welling |
| 23/09/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Welling | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Ramsgate |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Dartford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Leatherhead | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Eastbourne Borough | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Dulwich | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Enfield Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Welling | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | St Albans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Burgess Hill Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Aveley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Lewes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Ramsgate | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Brentwood Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Cray Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Wingate & Finchley | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | AFC Whyteleafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Welling | Ramsgate |
|---|---|---|
| Stanway Rovers | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Leatherhead | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Billericay Town | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Chichester City | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Welling (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Welling
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 11/08 | Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Ramsgate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Hashtag United England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Welling vs Ramsgate?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Welling win (41%). Probabilities: Welling 41%, draw 25%, Ramsgate 34%.
How many goals are expected in Welling vs Ramsgate?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Welling 1.77 · Ramsgate 1.61), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Welling vs Ramsgate?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.