Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Carshalton Ath vs Cheshunt

Team pages: Carshalton Ath · Cheshunt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Carshalton Ath1.65

Cheshunt1.58

1X2

39% 25% 36%

Carshalton Ath Draw Cheshunt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Carshalton Ath 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Cheshunt 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWDLLW

Head-to-head

Carshalton Ath 2–2–2 Cheshunt (6 last)

Cheshunt0-1Carshalton Ath
Carshalton Ath3-3Cheshunt
Carshalton Ath1-2Cheshunt
Cheshunt0-1Carshalton Ath
Carshalton Ath1-1Cheshunt
Cheshunt1-0Carshalton Ath

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carshalton Ath 1440 · Cheshunt 1486

	Carshalton Ath	Draw	Cheshunt
Our model	39%	25%	36%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cheshunt (rating 1440 vs 1486).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carshalton Ath	Cheshunt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.7	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.7	0 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/17/83%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.6	4.3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.60

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:06 +11’	2.30	3.60	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Carshalton Ath 2–2–2 Cheshunt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	0-1	Carshalton Ath
12/01/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	3-3 HT 1-1	Cheshunt
04/10/25 England FA Trophy	Carshalton Ath	1-2	Cheshunt
08/03/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	0-1 HT 0-1	Carshalton Ath
23/11/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	1-1 HT 0-1	Cheshunt
23/03/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Cheshunt	1-0	Carshalton Ath

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	14	10	1	3	26	12	31
4	Lewes	15	8	3	4	23	18	27
5	Dartford	15	9	0	6	24	22	27
6	St Albans	12	7	2	3	24	16	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	14	6	4	4	27	26	22
9	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
10	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
11	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
12	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
13	Burgess Hill Town	15	5	6	4	25	27	21
14	Aveley	15	6	2	7	25	24	20
15	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
16	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	14	5	0	9	24	27	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	15	2	1	12	14	40	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carshalton Ath	Cheshunt
Welling	0-4 L	0-2 L
St Albans	0-1 L	1-1 D
Eastbourne Borough	0-4 L	0-3 L
Lewes	0-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cheshunt (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carshalton Ath

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	5	3	L
20/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	2-4	6	2	L
17/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
12/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
10/10	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	0	3	L
03/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-3	1	5	L

Cheshunt

DLLWWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
27/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-4	–	–	L
24/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-1	10	5	D
10/10	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
19/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/09	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-1	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carshalton Ath vs Cheshunt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carshalton Ath win (39%). Probabilities: Carshalton Ath 39%, draw 25%, Cheshunt 36%.

How many goals are expected in Carshalton Ath vs Cheshunt?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Carshalton Ath 1.65 · Cheshunt 1.58), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Carshalton Ath vs Cheshunt?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.