Football · England Southern Premier League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Basingstoke vs Evesham United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Basingstoke1.72
Evesham United1.27
1X2
Basingstoke
Draw
Evesham United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Basingstoke
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Evesham United
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Basingstoke
1–1–0
Evesham United
(2 last)
- Basingstoke1-0Evesham United
- Evesham United1-1Basingstoke
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Basingstoke 1532 · Evesham United 1450
| Basingstoke | Draw | Evesham United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Basingstoke (rating 1532 vs 1450).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Basingstoke | Evesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.9 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/17/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Basingstoke 1–1–0 Evesham United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 England Southern Premier League South | Basingstoke | 1-0 | Evesham United |
| 12/08/25 England Southern Premier League South | Evesham United | 1-1 | Basingstoke |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basingstoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bath City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Berkhamsted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bracknell Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chichester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chippenham Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Evesham United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frome Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gloucester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gosport Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hanwell Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hanworth Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Havant and W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malvern Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Poole Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sholing | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Taunton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Uxbridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wimborne Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yate Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Basingstoke
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Hampton & Richmond Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Binfield Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Chesham UK Friendlies |
2-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Slough UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Evesham United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Bishops Cleeve UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Sporting Club Inkberrow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Cheltenham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Worcester City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Caerau Ely Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Redditch Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Basingstoke vs Evesham United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Basingstoke win (47%). Probabilities: Basingstoke 47%, draw 26%, Evesham United 27%.
How many goals are expected in Basingstoke vs Evesham United?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Basingstoke 1.72 · Evesham United 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Basingstoke vs Evesham United?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.