Football · England Southern Premier League South · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Plymouth Parkway vs Bracknell Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Plymouth Parkway1.76

Bracknell Town1.75

1X2

38% 25% 38%

Plymouth Parkway Draw Bracknell Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Plymouth Parkway 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWWLWL

Bracknell Town 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Plymouth Parkway 4–1–1 Bracknell Town (6 last)

Bracknell Town0-2Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth Parkway1-0Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town1-3Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth Parkway3-3Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town2-0Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth Parkway1-0Bracknell Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plymouth Parkway 1548 · Bracknell Town 1470

	Plymouth Parkway	Draw	Bracknell Town
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plymouth Parkway (rating 1548 vs 1470).
H2H favours Plymouth Parkway: 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plymouth Parkway	Bracknell Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	2.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	0 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	0 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 1.3 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.47 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.47

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +42’	2.38	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:06 +1’	2.47	3.39	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Plymouth Parkway 4–1–1 Bracknell Town

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	0-2	Plymouth Parkway
11/10/25 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	1-0	Bracknell Town
01/03/25 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	1-3 HT 1-1	Plymouth Parkway
14/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	3-3 HT 3-1	Bracknell Town
23/03/24 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	2-0	Plymouth Parkway
25/11/23 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	1-0	Bracknell Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Basingstoke	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bath City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Berkhamsted	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bracknell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chertsey Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chichester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chippenham Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Evesham United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frome Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloucester	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gosport Borough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hanwell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hanworth Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Havant and W	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Malvern Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Plymouth Parkway	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Poole Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sholing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Taunton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Uxbridge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wimborne Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yate Town	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plymouth Parkway	Bracknell Town
Tiverton Town	3-2 W	8-0 W
Farnham	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bracknell Town (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Plymouth Parkway

WLWWDWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Truro City Club Friendly List	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
14/07	Torquay UK Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
11/07	Plymouth UK Friendlies	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
25/04	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	6-3	–	–	W
18/04	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
06/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
03/04	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
28/03	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
24/03	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W

Bracknell Town

WDLWWLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Dorking Wanderers UK Friendlies	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
11/07	Windsor & Eton Club Friendly List	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
07/07	Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies	0-3	1-6	3	0	L
25/04	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
18/04	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	8-0	–	–	W
06/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/04	Weymouth England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/03	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
21/03	Dorchester England Southern Premier League South	–	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plymouth Parkway vs Bracknell Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plymouth Parkway win (38%). Probabilities: Plymouth Parkway 38%, draw 25%, Bracknell Town 38%.

How many goals are expected in Plymouth Parkway vs Bracknell Town?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Plymouth Parkway 1.76 · Bracknell Town 1.75), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Bracknell Town?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.