Football · England Southern Premier League South · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Sholing vs Bath City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Sholing1.34

Bath City1.46

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Sholing Draw Bath City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sholing 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWDLWL

Bath City 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Sholing 0–1 Bath City (1 last)

Bath City2-0Sholing

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sholing 1488 · Bath City 1447

	Sholing	Draw	Bath City
Our model	34%	28%	39%
Market	35%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sholing (rating 1488 vs 1447).
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sholing	Bath City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 2	1.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +42’	2.60	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sholing 0–0–1 Bath City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/12/19 England FA Trophy	Bath City	2-0 HT 1-0	Sholing

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Basingstoke	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bath City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Berkhamsted	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bracknell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chertsey Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chichester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chippenham Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Evesham United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frome Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloucester	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gosport Borough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hanwell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hanworth Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Havant and W	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Malvern Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Plymouth Parkway	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Poole Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sholing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Taunton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Uxbridge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wimborne Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yate Town	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sholing

DWLLDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	AFC Totton Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/07	Folkestone Invicta Club Friendly List	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
11/07	Woking Club Friendly List	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	AFC Totton Club Friendly List	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	Dorchester England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
18/04	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/04	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/03	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Bath City

LWLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Farnborough UK Friendlies	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
18/07	Plymouth Club Friendly List	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
14/07	Cardiff U23 Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Maidstone Utd England National League South	2-0	2-3	4	2	L
18/04	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
14/04	AFC Totton England National League South	1-2	1-2	6	5	L
11/04	Chesham England National League South	3-2	4-2	1	6	W
06/04	Torquay England National League South	1-2	1-4	2	3	L
03/04	Chippenham Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
31/03	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-2	0-3	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sholing vs Bath City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bath City win (39%). Probabilities: Sholing 34%, draw 27%, Bath City 39%.

How many goals are expected in Sholing vs Bath City?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Sholing 1.34 · Bath City 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sholing vs Bath City?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.