Football · England Southern Premier League South · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Uxbridge vs Chippenham Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Uxbridge1.44

Chippenham Town1.73

1X2

31% 25% 44%

Uxbridge Draw Chippenham Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Uxbridge 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLDDWD

Chippenham Town 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Uxbridge 1–1 Chippenham Town (2 last)

Chippenham Town0-1Uxbridge
Uxbridge0-3Chippenham Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uxbridge 1533 · Chippenham Town 1520

	Uxbridge	Draw	Chippenham Town
Our model	31%	25%	44%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Uxbridge	Chippenham Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 3.7	2.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +42’	2.88	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Uxbridge 1–0–1 Chippenham Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/11/21 England FA Trophy	Chippenham Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Uxbridge
10/10/15 England FA Cup Qualification	Uxbridge	0-3	Chippenham Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Basingstoke	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bath City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Berkhamsted	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bracknell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chertsey Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chichester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chippenham Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Evesham United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frome Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloucester	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gosport Borough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hanwell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hanworth Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Havant and W	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Malvern Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Plymouth Parkway	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Poole Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sholing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Taunton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Uxbridge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wimborne Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yate Town	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Uxbridge

DWDWWLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Slough Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/07	Wingate & Finchley Club Friendly List	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
25/04	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	1-2	3-3	2	0	D
18/04	Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
11/04	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/04	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
03/04	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
28/03	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
21/03	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
14/03	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D

Chippenham Town

LWDLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Shaftesbury Club Friendly List	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	Bishops Cleeve Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/07	Swindon UK Friendlies	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
11/07	Mangotsfield Utd Club Friendly List	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
10/07	Paulton UK Friendlies	0-1	2-1	5	0	W
25/04	Horsham England National League South	0-1	2-3	3	6	L
18/04	AFC Hornchurch England National League South	0-0	1-3	5	1	L
11/04	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
06/04	AFC Totton England National League South	1-0	2-0	6	9	W
03/04	Bath City England National League South	0-0	0-1	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uxbridge vs Chippenham Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chippenham Town win (44%). Probabilities: Uxbridge 31%, draw 25%, Chippenham Town 44%.

How many goals are expected in Uxbridge vs Chippenham Town?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Uxbridge 1.44 · Chippenham Town 1.73), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Uxbridge vs Chippenham Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.