Football · England Southern Premier League South · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Taunton Town vs Basingstoke

Team pages: Taunton Town · Basingstoke

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Taunton Town2.02

Basingstoke1.62

1X2

46% 24% 30%

Taunton Town Draw Basingstoke

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Taunton Town 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLWWL

Basingstoke 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLLLWD

Head-to-head

Taunton Town 4–2–0 Basingstoke (6 last)

Basingstoke3-3Taunton Town
Taunton Town1-1Basingstoke
Taunton Town2-0Basingstoke
Basingstoke0-2Taunton Town
Taunton Town1-0Basingstoke
Basingstoke1-2Taunton Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taunton Town 1532 · Basingstoke 1508

	Taunton Town	Draw	Basingstoke
Our model	46%	23%	30%
Market	46%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Taunton Town: 4-2-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taunton Town	Basingstoke
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:42 +15’	1.95	3.70	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Taunton Town 4–2–0 Basingstoke

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England Southern Premier League South	Basingstoke	3-3	Taunton Town
16/08/25 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	1-1	Basingstoke
01/02/25 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	2-0	Basingstoke
19/10/24 England Southern Premier League South	Basingstoke	0-2	Taunton Town
05/10/24 England FA Trophy	Taunton Town	1-0	Basingstoke
27/04/19 England Southern Premier League South	Basingstoke	1-2	Taunton Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chertsey Town	4	3	1	0	10	4	10
2	Uxbridge	4	3	1	0	10	5	10
3	Hanworth Villa	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
4	Bath City	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
4	Yate Town	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
6	Plymouth Parkway	4	2	1	1	12	5	7
7	Frome Town	4	2	0	2	7	3	6
8	Taunton Town	4	2	0	2	11	10	6
9	Chichester City	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
10	Poole Town	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
11	Evesham United	4	2	0	2	8	10	6
12	Hanwell Town	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
13	Wimborne Town	4	1	1	2	4	4	4
14	Basingstoke	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
15	Gloucester	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
16	Gosport Borough	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
17	Sholing	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
18	Chippenham Town	4	1	1	2	4	9	4
19	Bracknell Town	4	1	1	2	4	11	4
20	Berkhamsted	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
21	Havant and W	4	1	0	3	2	6	3
22	Malvern Town	4	0	2	2	4	10	2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taunton Town

WWWWWDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	4-5	–	–	L
15/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	5-2	8	1	W
08/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
25/04	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
20/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
18/04	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/04	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/04	Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W

Basingstoke

DLWWWLLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-2	9	3	L
08/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L
25/04	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
11/04	Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/04	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/04	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
28/03	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taunton Town vs Basingstoke?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Taunton Town win (46%). Probabilities: Taunton Town 46%, draw 24%, Basingstoke 30%.

How many goals are expected in Taunton Town vs Basingstoke?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Taunton Town 2.02 · Basingstoke 1.62), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Taunton Town vs Basingstoke?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.