Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Dulwich vs Lewes

Team pages: Dulwich · Lewes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Dulwich1.67

Lewes1.42

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Dulwich Draw Lewes

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dulwich 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDLDWL

Lewes 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWWDDL

Head-to-head

Dulwich 2–1–3 Lewes (6 last)

Lewes2-1Dulwich
Dulwich1-4Lewes
Dulwich1-3Lewes
Lewes2-2Dulwich
Dulwich2-0Lewes
Lewes0-2Dulwich

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dulwich 1457 · Lewes 1539

	Dulwich	Draw	Lewes
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lewes (rating 1457 vs 1539).
H2H favours Lewes: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dulwich	Lewes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/17/67%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	2.5 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:11 +5’	2.10	3.60	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dulwich 2–1–3 Lewes

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	2-1	Dulwich
13/12/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	1-4 HT 1-1	Lewes
01/03/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	1-3	Lewes
10/12/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	2-2 HT 1-0	Dulwich
16/03/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Dulwich	2-0	Lewes
09/12/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	0-2	Dulwich

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	14	10	1	3	26	12	31
4	Lewes	15	8	3	4	23	18	27
5	Dartford	15	9	0	6	24	22	27
6	St Albans	12	7	2	3	24	16	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	14	6	4	4	27	26	22
9	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
10	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
11	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
12	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
13	Burgess Hill Town	15	5	6	4	25	27	21
14	Aveley	15	6	2	7	25	24	20
15	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
16	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	14	5	0	9	24	27	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	15	2	1	12	14	40	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dulwich	Lewes
Whitehawk	2-1 W	1-0 W
Maldon Tiptree FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Chatham Town	0-4 L	2-3 L
Carshalton Ath	2-2 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lewes (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dulwich

WWWLLDLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-4	3	4	L
27/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	4	0	L
17/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
10/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
29/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
12/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Lewes

WLWLWWWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	1-2	6	1	L
31/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-1	10	4	D
13/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	2-1	6	4	W
03/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
19/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dulwich vs Lewes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dulwich win (43%). Probabilities: Dulwich 43%, draw 25%, Lewes 32%.

How many goals are expected in Dulwich vs Lewes?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Dulwich 1.67 · Lewes 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dulwich vs Lewes?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.