Prediction: Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway
Team pages: Bath City · Plymouth Parkway
| Bath City | Draw | Plymouth Parkway | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plymouth Parkway (rating 1470 vs 1526).
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bath City | Plymouth Parkway | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 2.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/11/56% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sholing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gloucester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bath City | Plymouth Parkway |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Torquay | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Plymouth Parkway (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bath City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Farnborough UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Plymouth Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Cardiff U23 Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Maidstone Utd England National League South |
2-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Dorking Wanderers England National League South |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | AFC Totton England National League South |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Chesham England National League South |
3-2 | 4-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/04 | Torquay England National League South |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Chippenham Town England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Plymouth Parkway
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Truro City Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Torquay UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Plymouth UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 6-3 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bath City win (55%). Probabilities: Bath City 55%, draw 22%, Plymouth Parkway 23%.
How many goals are expected in Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
The model expects 3.54 goals (Bath City 2.17 · Plymouth Parkway 1.38), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.