Football · England Southern Premier League South · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Bracknell Town vs Gloucester
Team pages: Bracknell Town · Gloucester
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Bracknell Town1.3
Gloucester2
1X2
Bracknell Town
Draw
Gloucester
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bracknell Town
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Gloucester
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bracknell Town
1–3
Gloucester
(4 last)
- Gloucester1-0Bracknell Town
- Bracknell Town0-2Gloucester
- Bracknell Town0-1Gloucester
- Gloucester0-2Bracknell Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bracknell Town 1453 · Gloucester 1521
| Bracknell Town | Draw | Gloucester | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 24% | 23% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloucester (rating 1453 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Gloucester: 3-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bracknell Town | Gloucester | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 33/50/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 3 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bracknell Town 1–0–3 Gloucester
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England Southern Premier League South | Gloucester | 1-0 | Bracknell Town |
| 13/10/25 England Southern Premier League South | Bracknell Town | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Gloucester |
| 28/01/25 England Southern Premier League South | Bracknell Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gloucester |
| 16/11/24 England Southern Premier League South | Gloucester | 0-2 | Bracknell Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sholing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gloucester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bracknell Town | Gloucester |
|---|---|---|
| Walton & Hersham | 1-6 L | 1-0 W |
| Farnham | 3-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Poole Town | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bracknell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 04/08 | Dorking Wanderers UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Windsor & Eton Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Weymouth England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Gloucester
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Weston Super Mare UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Barry Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Haverfordwest County UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Newport County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/07 | Bristol Manor Farm Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bracknell Town vs Gloucester?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gloucester win (53%). Probabilities: Bracknell Town 24%, draw 23%, Gloucester 53%.
How many goals are expected in Bracknell Town vs Gloucester?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Bracknell Town 1.3 · Gloucester 2), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bracknell Town vs Gloucester?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.