Football · England Southern Premier League South · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Chippenham Town vs Yate Town
Team pages: Chippenham Town · Yate Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Chippenham Town1.62
Yate Town1.13
1X2
Chippenham Town
Draw
Yate Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chippenham Town
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Yate Town
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chippenham Town
1–0
Yate Town
(1 last)
- Yate Town0-1Chippenham Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chippenham Town 1508 · Yate Town 1546
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chippenham Town | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.3 | 3.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chippenham Town 1–0–0 Yate Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/23 Club Friendly List | Yate Town | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chippenham Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sholing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gloucester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chippenham Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Shaftesbury Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Bishops Cleeve Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Swindon UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Mangotsfield Utd Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Paulton UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Horsham England National League South |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | AFC Hornchurch England National League South |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Hampton & Richmond England National League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | AFC Totton England National League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
Yate Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Leamington UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/03 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/03 | Weymouth England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chippenham Town win (48%). Probabilities: Chippenham Town 48%, draw 26%, Yate Town 26%.
How many goals are expected in Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Chippenham Town 1.62 · Yate Town 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.