Football · England Southern Premier League South · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke
Team pages: Hanwell Town · Basingstoke
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Hanwell Town1.81
Basingstoke1.51
1X2
Hanwell Town
Draw
Basingstoke
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hanwell Town
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Basingstoke
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hanwell Town
3–3
Basingstoke
(6 last)
- Hanwell Town2-1Basingstoke
- Basingstoke3-2Hanwell Town
- Basingstoke3-4Hanwell Town
- Hanwell Town1-2Basingstoke
- Hanwell Town1-2Basingstoke
- Basingstoke1-3Hanwell Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanwell Town 1462 · Basingstoke 1515
| Hanwell Town | Draw | Basingstoke | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Basingstoke (rating 1462 vs 1515).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hanwell Town | Basingstoke | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/17/33% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.2 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hanwell Town 3–0–3 Basingstoke
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 2-1 | Basingstoke |
| 06/01/26 England Southern Premier League South | Basingstoke | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Hanwell Town |
| 25/01/25 England Southern Premier League South | Basingstoke | 3-4 | Hanwell Town |
| 15/10/24 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Basingstoke |
| 13/01/24 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Basingstoke |
| 12/08/23 England Southern Premier League South | Basingstoke | 1-3 | Hanwell Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sholing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gloucester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Sholing | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanwell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Weymouth England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/03 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Basingstoke
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Hampton & Richmond Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Binfield Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Chesham UK Friendlies |
2-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Slough UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hanwell Town win (44%). Probabilities: Hanwell Town 44%, draw 25%, Basingstoke 31%.
How many goals are expected in Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Hanwell Town 1.81 · Basingstoke 1.51), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.