Football · England Southern Premier League South · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Havant and W vs Uxbridge
Team pages: Havant and W · Uxbridge
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Havant and W2.07
Uxbridge1.55
1X2
Havant and W
Draw
Uxbridge
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Havant and W
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Uxbridge
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Havant and W
0–1–1
Uxbridge
(2 last)
- Uxbridge3-0Havant and W
- Havant and W3-3Uxbridge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Havant and W 1444 · Uxbridge 1558
| Havant and W | Draw | Uxbridge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uxbridge (rating 1444 vs 1558).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Havant and W | Uxbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.1 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 2 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Havant and W 0–1–1 Uxbridge
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England Southern Premier League South | Uxbridge | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Havant and W |
| 18/10/25 England Southern Premier League South | Havant and W | 3-3 | Uxbridge |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sholing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gloucester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Havant and W | Uxbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 0-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Gosport Borough | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Havant and W
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Salisbury FC UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Bognor Regis Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Uxbridge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Slough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Wingate & Finchley Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 21/03 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Havant and W vs Uxbridge?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Havant and W win (49%). Probabilities: Havant and W 49%, draw 23%, Uxbridge 28%.
How many goals are expected in Havant and W vs Uxbridge?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Havant and W 2.07 · Uxbridge 1.55), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Havant and W vs Uxbridge?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.