Prediction: Berkhamsted vs Poole Town
Team pages: Berkhamsted · Poole Town
- Poole Town3-1Berkhamsted
- Berkhamsted1-2Poole Town
| Berkhamsted | Draw | Poole Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Poole Town (rating 1435 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Poole Town: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Berkhamsted | Poole Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.5 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/13/50% | 75/25/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Berkhamsted 0–0–2 Poole Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 3-1 | Berkhamsted |
| 29/11/25 England Southern Premier League South | Berkhamsted | 1-2 | Poole Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Bath City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Frome Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Taunton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Hanworth Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Evesham United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Hanwell Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Plymouth Parkway | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Sholing | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chippenham Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Berkhamsted | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Poole Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Chichester City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Gosport Borough | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Wimborne Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Berkhamsted | Poole Town |
|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Havant and W | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Poole Town (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berkhamsted
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Cheshunt Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Hertford Town Club Friendly List |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | St Albans Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Real Bedford Club Friendly List |
1-4 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Chesham Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Bedford Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Ware UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
Poole Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Eastleigh Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berkhamsted vs Poole Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Berkhamsted win (41%). Probabilities: Berkhamsted 41%, draw 26%, Poole Town 33%.
How many goals are expected in Berkhamsted vs Poole Town?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Berkhamsted 1.53 · Poole Town 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Berkhamsted vs Poole Town?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.