Football · England Southern Premier League South · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Frome Town vs Gosport Borough
Team pages: Frome Town · Gosport Borough
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Frome Town1.85
Gosport Borough1.32
1X2
Frome Town
Draw
Gosport Borough
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Frome Town
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Gosport Borough
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Frome Town
3–1–2
Gosport Borough
(6 last)
- Frome Town0-0Gosport Borough
- Gosport Borough0-1Frome Town
- Gosport Borough3-1Frome Town
- Frome Town2-0Gosport Borough
- Gosport Borough7-0Frome Town
- Frome Town2-0Gosport Borough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frome Town 1581 · Gosport Borough 1471
| Frome Town | Draw | Gosport Borough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frome Town (rating 1581 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Frome Town: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Frome Town | Gosport Borough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.3 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 75/25/0% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 5 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Frome Town 3–1–2 Gosport Borough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/25 England Southern Premier League South | Frome Town | 0-0 | Gosport Borough |
| 10/08/24 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 0-1 | Frome Town |
| 09/02/19 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 3-1 | Frome Town |
| 20/10/18 England Southern Premier League South | Frome Town | 2-0 | Gosport Borough |
| 21/04/18 England Southern League Premier | Gosport Borough | 7-0 | Frome Town |
| 20/12/17 England Southern League Premier | Frome Town | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gosport Borough |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Bath City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Frome Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Taunton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Hanworth Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Evesham United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Hanwell Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Plymouth Parkway | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Sholing | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chippenham Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Berkhamsted | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Poole Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Chichester City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Gosport Borough | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Wimborne Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Frome Town | Gosport Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Havant and W | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Evesham United | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Frome Town (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frome Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Weymouth Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Salisbury FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Worthing Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Swindon Supermarine Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Buckland Athletic Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/07 | Radstock Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Didcot Town England Southern League Div One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Gosport Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Three Bridges Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frome Town vs Gosport Borough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Frome Town win (49%). Probabilities: Frome Town 49%, draw 25%, Gosport Borough 26%.
How many goals are expected in Frome Town vs Gosport Borough?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Frome Town 1.85 · Gosport Borough 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Frome Town vs Gosport Borough?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.