Prediction: Hanworth Villa vs Evesham United

Team pages: Hanworth Villa · Evesham United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Hanworth Villa1.85
Evesham United0.95
1X2
58% 24% 18%
Hanworth Villa Draw Evesham United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hanworth Villa 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWWWWL
Evesham United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWWLDDWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hanworth Villa 1571 · Evesham United 1495
Hanworth VillaDrawEvesham United
Our model57%25%18%
Market58%23%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanworth Villa (rating 1571 vs 1495).
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hanworth VillaEvesham United
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.81.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.60.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/11/22%43/14/43%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.81.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.31.8 / 0

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chertsey Town 3210 627
2 Uxbridge 3210 517
3 Bath City 3210 427
4 Frome Town 3201 616
5 Taunton Town 3201 756
6 Hanworth Villa 3201 316
7 Evesham United 3201 766
8 Hanwell Town 3120 435
9 Yate Town 3120 325
10 Plymouth Parkway 3111 1044
11 Sholing 3111 224
12 Chippenham Town 3111 454
13 Bracknell Town 3111 394
14 Basingstoke 3102 563
15 Berkhamsted 3102 463
16 Poole Town 3102 243
17 Chichester City 3102 253
18 Havant and W 3102 143
19 Malvern Town 3021 472
20 Gloucester 3012 351
21 Gosport Borough 3012 131
22 Wimborne Town 3012 141

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hanworth Villa

WWLWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Bath City
England Southern Premier League South
0-1 L
12/08 Gosport Borough
England Southern Premier League South
1-0 1-0 33 W
08/08 Taunton Town
England Southern Premier League South
1-0 2-0 34 W
01/08 Ashford Town (Middx)
UK Friendlies
1-1 4-1 21 W
25/07 Welwyn Garden City
UK Friendlies
3-1 5-2 21 W
21/07 Kingstonian
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 53 W
18/07 Carshalton Ath
UK Friendlies
0-1 2-1 41 W
04/07 Hampton & Richmond
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 L
03/05 Westfield
England Isthmian Division One South
1-0 2-0 66 W
29/04 Moneyfields
England Isthmian Division One South
3-1 5-1 56 W

Evesham United

DLWWLDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Chichester City
England Southern Premier League South
3-0 W
11/08 Frome Town
England Southern Premier League South
0-1 0-4 34 L
08/08 Basingstoke
England Southern Premier League South
4-2 W
31/07 Bishops Cleeve
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 72 D
23/07 Sporting Club Inkberrow
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
18/07 Cheltenham
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-3 10 L
14/07 Worcester City
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 31 W
11/07 Caerau Ely
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-0 W
07/07 Redditch
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-2 L
25/04 Taunton Town
England Southern Premier League South
0-0 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hanworth Villa vs Evesham United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hanworth Villa win (58%). Probabilities: Hanworth Villa 58%, draw 24%, Evesham United 18%.

How many goals are expected in Hanworth Villa vs Evesham United?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Hanworth Villa 1.85 · Evesham United 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hanworth Villa vs Evesham United?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.