Football · England Southern Premier League South · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Yate Town vs Bracknell Town
Team pages: Yate Town · Bracknell Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Yate Town1.99
Bracknell Town1.62
1X2
Yate Town
Draw
Bracknell Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yate Town
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Bracknell Town
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yate Town
2–3
Bracknell Town
(5 last)
- Bracknell Town3-0Yate Town
- Yate Town4-1Bracknell Town
- Yate Town0-2Bracknell Town
- Bracknell Town0-3Yate Town
- Yate Town0-3Bracknell Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yate Town 1561 · Bracknell Town 1495
| Yate Town | Draw | Bracknell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yate Town (rating 1561 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Bracknell Town: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yate Town | Bracknell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 2.5 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/67/33% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.3 | 0 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.7 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yate Town 2–0–3 Bracknell Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England Southern Premier League South | Bracknell Town | 3-0 | Yate Town |
| 22/11/25 England Southern Premier League South | Yate Town | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Bracknell Town |
| 25/03/23 England Southern Premier League South | Yate Town | 0-2 | Bracknell Town |
| 15/11/22 England Southern Premier League South | Bracknell Town | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Yate Town |
| 01/10/22 England FA Cup Qualification | Yate Town | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Bracknell Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Bath City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Frome Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Taunton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Hanworth Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Evesham United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Hanwell Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Plymouth Parkway | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Sholing | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chippenham Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Berkhamsted | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Poole Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Chichester City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Gosport Borough | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Wimborne Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yate Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Leamington UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Bracknell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 04/08 | Dorking Wanderers UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Windsor & Eton Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yate Town vs Bracknell Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yate Town win (45%). Probabilities: Yate Town 45%, draw 25%, Bracknell Town 30%.
How many goals are expected in Yate Town vs Bracknell Town?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Yate Town 1.99 · Bracknell Town 1.62), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Yate Town vs Bracknell Town?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.