Football · England Southern Premier League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Yate Town vs Gosport Borough
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Yate Town1.67
Gosport Borough1.47
1X2
Yate Town
Draw
Gosport Borough
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yate Town
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Gosport Borough
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yate Town
4–1–1
Gosport Borough
(6 last)
- Gosport Borough0-2Yate Town
- Yate Town1-1Gosport Borough
- Gosport Borough0-1Yate Town
- Yate Town5-4Gosport Borough
- Yate Town1-2Gosport Borough
- Yate Town2-0Gosport Borough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yate Town 1530 · Gosport Borough 1506
| Yate Town | Draw | Gosport Borough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | 42% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Yate Town: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yate Town | Gosport Borough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.3 | 3.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yate Town 4–1–1 Gosport Borough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Yate Town |
| 06/09/25 England Southern Premier League South | Yate Town | 1-1 | Gosport Borough |
| 14/01/23 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 0-1 | Yate Town |
| 26/11/22 England Southern Premier League South | Yate Town | 5-4 | Gosport Borough |
| 23/04/22 England Southern Premier League South | Yate Town | 1-2 | Gosport Borough |
| 18/09/21 England FA Cup Qualification | Yate Town | 2-0 | Gosport Borough |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basingstoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bath City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Berkhamsted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bracknell Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chichester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chippenham Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Evesham United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frome Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gloucester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gosport Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hanwell Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hanworth Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Havant and W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malvern Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Poole Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sholing | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Taunton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Uxbridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wimborne Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yate Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yate Town | Gosport Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Havant and W | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Evesham United | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Poole Town | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Plymouth Parkway | 0-1 L | 3-6 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Yate Town (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yate Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Leamington UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/03 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/03 | Weymouth England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/03 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Gosport Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Three Bridges Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yate Town vs Gosport Borough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yate Town win (42%). Probabilities: Yate Town 42%, draw 25%, Gosport Borough 33%.
How many goals are expected in Yate Town vs Gosport Borough?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Yate Town 1.67 · Gosport Borough 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Yate Town vs Gosport Borough?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.