Football · England Northern Premier League · 17/10, 16:00
Prediction: Bamber Bridge vs Workington
Team pages: Bamber Bridge · Workington
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Bamber Bridge1.72
Workington1.96
1X2
Bamber Bridge
Draw
Workington
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Bamber Bridge
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Workington
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bamber Bridge
3–1–2
Workington
(6 last)
- Workington1-3Bamber Bridge
- Bamber Bridge1-2Workington
- Bamber Bridge1-2Workington
- Workington2-3Bamber Bridge
- Workington1-2Bamber Bridge
- Workington2-2Bamber Bridge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bamber Bridge 1435 · Workington 1519
| Bamber Bridge | Draw | Workington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 23% | 43% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Workington (rating 1435 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Bamber Bridge: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bamber Bridge | Workington | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.4 | 2.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/43/57% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.1 | 0.6 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bamber Bridge 3–1–2 Workington
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 England Northern Premier League | Workington | 1-3 | Bamber Bridge |
| 06/09/25 England Northern Premier League | Bamber Bridge | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Workington |
| 11/02/25 England Northern Premier League | Bamber Bridge | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Workington |
| 26/10/24 England FA Trophy | Workington | 2-3 | Bamber Bridge |
| 17/09/24 England Northern Premier League | Workington | 1-2 | Bamber Bridge |
| 01/01/24 England Northern Premier League | Workington | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Bamber Bridge |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro FC | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 23 | 25 |
| 5 | Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 22 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 10 | Lancaster City | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 20 |
| 11 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 12 | Alfreton Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
| 14 | Hyde Utd | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 15 |
| 15 | Ashton Utd | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 29 | 14 |
| 17 | Stockton Town | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 11 |
| 19 | Emley AFC | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 11 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 10 |
| 21 | FC United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 7 |
| 22 | Ilkeston | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 34 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bamber Bridge | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Warrington Town | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Whitby | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Quorn | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Warrington Rylands | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| FC United of Manchester | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Leek Town | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Workington (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bamber Bridge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Warrington Town England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Whitby England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/08 | Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Workington
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Whitby England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/10 | Warrington Town England Northern Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 29/09 | Emley AFC England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Ilkeston England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Lancaster City England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/08 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bamber Bridge vs Workington?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Workington win (43%). Probabilities: Bamber Bridge 33%, draw 24%, Workington 43%.
How many goals are expected in Bamber Bridge vs Workington?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Bamber Bridge 1.72 · Workington 1.96), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bamber Bridge vs Workington?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.