Football · England Northern Premier League · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Gainsborough vs Hyde Utd

Team pages: Gainsborough · Hyde Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Gainsborough2.08

Hyde Utd1.16

1X2

58% 23% 20%

Gainsborough Draw Hyde Utd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Gainsborough 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Hyde Utd 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gainsborough 3–2–1 Hyde Utd (6 last)

Hyde Utd3-1Gainsborough
Gainsborough2-0Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd1-1Gainsborough
Gainsborough2-1Hyde Utd
Gainsborough4-1Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd2-2Gainsborough

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gainsborough 1545 · Hyde Utd 1461

	Gainsborough	Draw	Hyde Utd
Our model	58%	23%	20%
Market	58%	22%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gainsborough (rating 1545 vs 1461).
H2H favours Gainsborough: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gainsborough	Hyde Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	1.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +2’	1.55	4.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gainsborough 3–2–1 Hyde Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	3-1 HT 3-0	Gainsborough
17/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Gainsborough	2-0 HT 1-0	Hyde Utd
08/02/25 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	1-1 HT 1-1	Gainsborough
17/12/24 England Northern Premier League	Gainsborough	2-1 HT 1-1	Hyde Utd
13/04/24 England Northern Premier League	Gainsborough	4-1 HT 2-0	Hyde Utd
28/11/23 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	2-2 HT 2-2	Gainsborough

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	14	9	4	1	31	12	31
2	Cleethorpes Town	13	9	3	1	30	7	30
3	Guiseley	12	8	1	3	25	11	25
4	Avro FC	12	8	1	3	34	23	25
5	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25	21	23
6	Gainsborough	12	7	1	4	25	16	22
7	Curzon Ashton	12	7	1	4	24	16	22
8	Warrington Town	12	6	4	2	23	18	22
9	Workington	14	6	3	5	24	24	21
10	Lancaster City	14	6	2	6	19	26	20
11	Bury	11	6	1	4	22	11	19
12	Alfreton Town	14	6	1	7	20	16	19
13	Whitby	13	5	1	7	19	33	16
14	Hyde Utd	14	4	3	7	15	25	15
15	Ashton Utd	12	3	5	4	14	13	14
16	Quorn	13	3	5	5	23	29	14
17	Stockton Town	14	3	3	8	17	25	12
18	Leek Town	12	2	5	5	24	25	11
19	Emley AFC	13	2	5	6	12	25	11
20	Bamber Bridge	13	2	4	7	16	32	10
21	FC United of Manchester	12	1	4	7	15	23	7
22	Ilkeston	14	2	1	11	8	34	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gainsborough	Hyde Utd
Whitby	6-2 W	1-3 L
Avro FC	0-2 L	0-1 L
Cleethorpes Town	0-3 L	0-1 L
Quorn	2-2 D	2-2 D
Bury	0-1 L	2-1 W
Stockton Town	4-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hyde Utd (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gainsborough

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
10/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/10	Whitby England Northern Premier League	3-0	6-2	10	0	W
12/09	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
31/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
28/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	2-0	2-1	0	6	W
25/08	Quorn England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-2	7	0	D
22/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/08	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W

Hyde Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Quorn England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
10/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
06/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
03/10	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
22/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	11	6	L
12/09	Whitby England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-3	6	1	L
31/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	4	6	D
25/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-4	6	5	L
22/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gainsborough vs Hyde Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gainsborough win (58%). Probabilities: Gainsborough 58%, draw 23%, Hyde Utd 20%.

How many goals are expected in Gainsborough vs Hyde Utd?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Gainsborough 2.08 · Hyde Utd 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gainsborough vs Hyde Utd?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.