Football · England Northern Premier League · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bamber Bridge vs Warrington Town

Team pages: Bamber Bridge · Warrington Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Bamber Bridge1.64

Warrington Town1.95

1X2

32% 24% 44%

Bamber Bridge Draw Warrington Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Bamber Bridge 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDDLWLLD

Warrington Town 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDWLDD

Head-to-head

Bamber Bridge 2–1–3 Warrington Town (6 last)

Warrington Town0-2Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge1-2Warrington Town
Warrington Town0-3Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge1-1Warrington Town
Bamber Bridge0-2Warrington Town
Warrington Town1-0Bamber Bridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bamber Bridge 1425 · Warrington Town 1518

	Bamber Bridge	Draw	Warrington Town
Our model	32%	24%	45%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Warrington Town (rating 1425 vs 1518).
H2H favours Warrington Town: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bamber Bridge	Warrington Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.3	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	17/33/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +6’	2.88	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bamber Bridge 2–1–3 Warrington Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Town	0-2	Bamber Bridge
13/01/26 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	1-2 HT 0-1	Warrington Town
30/08/25 England FA Cup Qualification	Warrington Town	0-3 HT 0-1	Bamber Bridge
03/08/24 Club Friendly List	Bamber Bridge	1-1 HT 0-0	Warrington Town
29/07/23 Club Friendly List	Bamber Bridge	0-2 HT 0-1	Warrington Town
01/05/23 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Bamber Bridge

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	13	9	3	1	30	7	30
2	Redcar Athletic	13	8	4	1	28	11	28
3	Guiseley	12	8	1	3	25	11	25
4	Avro FC	11	8	1	2	33	20	25
5	Curzon Ashton	11	7	1	3	23	11	22
6	Workington	13	6	3	4	23	22	21
7	Warrington Rylands	13	6	2	5	20	20	20
8	Bury	11	6	1	4	22	11	19
9	Gainsborough	11	6	1	4	22	15	19
10	Warrington Town	11	5	4	2	22	18	19
11	Alfreton Town	13	6	0	7	20	16	18
12	Lancaster City	13	5	2	6	18	26	17
13	Hyde Utd	13	4	2	7	13	23	14
14	Ashton Utd	11	3	4	4	14	13	13
15	Quorn	12	3	4	5	21	27	13
16	Whitby	12	4	1	7	17	32	13
17	Stockton Town	13	3	3	7	17	24	12
18	Leek Town	12	2	5	5	24	25	11
19	Emley AFC	12	2	4	6	11	24	10
20	Bamber Bridge	12	2	4	6	16	31	10
21	Ilkeston	13	2	1	10	7	31	7
22	FC United of Manchester	11	1	3	7	14	22	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bamber Bridge	Warrington Town
Whitby	0-0 D	5-0 W
Hyde Utd	4-4 D	3-0 W
FC United of Manchester	1-1 D	1-4 L
Leek Town	1-4 L	2-1 W
Curzon Ashton	2-2 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Warrington Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bamber Bridge

WDLDDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Whitby England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
03/10	Quorn England Northern Premier League	0-2	2-4	1	1	L
19/09	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-5	–	–	L
12/09	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
31/08	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
29/08	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	6	6	D
25/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-4	–	–	L
18/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W

Warrington Town

WDWWLDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
06/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-4	2	5	L
01/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
29/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
25/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
22/08	Whitby England Northern Premier League	–	5-0	–	–	W
18/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bamber Bridge vs Warrington Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Warrington Town win (44%). Probabilities: Bamber Bridge 32%, draw 24%, Warrington Town 44%.

How many goals are expected in Bamber Bridge vs Warrington Town?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Bamber Bridge 1.64 · Warrington Town 1.95), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bamber Bridge vs Warrington Town?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.