Football · England Northern Premier League · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Hyde Utd vs Quorn

Team pages: Hyde Utd · Quorn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Hyde Utd1.69

Quorn1.54

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Hyde Utd Draw Quorn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hyde Utd 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLLWLL

Quorn 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDLWLWDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hyde Utd 1451 · Quorn 1518

	Hyde Utd	Draw	Quorn
Our model	40%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quorn (rating 1451 vs 1518).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hyde Utd	Quorn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +8’	2.20	3.60	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	13	9	3	1	30	7	30
2	Redcar Athletic	13	8	4	1	28	11	28
3	Guiseley	12	8	1	3	25	11	25
4	Avro FC	11	8	1	2	33	20	25
5	Curzon Ashton	11	7	1	3	23	11	22
6	Workington	13	6	3	4	23	22	21
7	Warrington Rylands	13	6	2	5	20	20	20
8	Bury	11	6	1	4	22	11	19
9	Gainsborough	11	6	1	4	22	15	19
10	Warrington Town	11	5	4	2	22	18	19
11	Alfreton Town	13	6	0	7	20	16	18
12	Lancaster City	13	5	2	6	18	26	17
13	Hyde Utd	13	4	2	7	13	23	14
14	Ashton Utd	11	3	4	4	14	13	13
15	Quorn	12	3	4	5	21	27	13
16	Whitby	12	4	1	7	17	32	13
17	Stockton Town	13	3	3	7	17	24	12
18	Leek Town	12	2	5	5	24	25	11
19	Emley AFC	12	2	4	6	11	24	10
20	Bamber Bridge	12	2	4	6	16	31	10
21	Ilkeston	13	2	1	10	7	31	7
22	FC United of Manchester	11	1	3	7	14	22	6

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hyde Utd	Quorn
Whitby	1-3 L	3-6 L
Bamber Bridge	4-4 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hyde Utd

WLLDWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
06/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
03/10	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
22/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	11	6	L
12/09	Whitby England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-3	6	1	L
31/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	4	6	D
25/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-4	6	5	L
22/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
18/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W

Quorn

DLDDLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
06/10	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
03/10	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-2	7	1	W
12/09	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	–	1-4	–	–	L
31/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	0-0	2-0	5	1	W
29/08	Whitby England Northern Premier League	–	3-6	–	–	L
25/08	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
22/08	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/08	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hyde Utd vs Quorn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hyde Utd win (41%). Probabilities: Hyde Utd 41%, draw 25%, Quorn 34%.

How many goals are expected in Hyde Utd vs Quorn?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Hyde Utd 1.69 · Quorn 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hyde Utd vs Quorn?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.