Football · England Northern Premier League · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Cleethorpes Town vs Warrington Rylands

Team pages: Cleethorpes Town · Warrington Rylands

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Cleethorpes Town1.58

Warrington Rylands1.16

1X2

46% 26% 27%

Cleethorpes Town Draw Warrington Rylands

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Cleethorpes Town 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWDDW

Warrington Rylands 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWDWWD

Head-to-head

Cleethorpes Town 1–1 Warrington Rylands (2 last)

Warrington Rylands0-1Cleethorpes Town
Cleethorpes Town1-2Warrington Rylands

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cleethorpes Town 1574 · Warrington Rylands 1525

	Cleethorpes Town	Draw	Warrington Rylands
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cleethorpes Town (rating 1574 vs 1525).
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cleethorpes Town	Warrington Rylands
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.7	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	29/29/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +6’	1.91	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cleethorpes Town 1–0–1 Warrington Rylands

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	0-1 HT 0-1	Cleethorpes Town
25/10/25 England Northern Premier League	Cleethorpes Town	1-2 HT 0-0	Warrington Rylands

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	11	7	4	0	22	8	25
2	Cleethorpes Town	11	7	3	1	26	7	24
3	Avro FC	9	7	1	1	28	16	22
4	Workington	11	6	2	3	21	17	20
5	Guiseley	10	6	1	3	22	11	19
6	Warrington Rylands	11	6	1	4	17	14	19
7	Warrington Town	9	5	2	2	18	14	17
8	Bury	9	5	1	3	19	8	16
9	Curzon Ashton	9	5	1	3	18	10	16
10	Lancaster City	11	5	1	5	13	19	16
11	Alfreton Town	11	5	0	6	17	13	15
12	Hyde Utd	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
13	Gainsborough	9	4	1	4	14	12	13
14	Whitby	10	4	0	6	15	26	12
15	Ashton Utd	9	3	2	4	10	9	11
16	Emley AFC	11	2	4	5	10	22	10
17	Leek Town	10	2	3	5	19	20	9
18	Quorn	10	2	3	5	16	25	9
19	Bamber Bridge	11	2	3	6	16	31	9
20	Stockton Town	11	2	2	7	14	22	8
21	Ilkeston	11	2	1	8	7	24	7
22	FC United of Manchester	9	1	2	6	12	19	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cleethorpes Town	Warrington Rylands
Workington	1-1 D	2-3 L
Redcar Athletic	1-1 D	0-5 L
Ilkeston	3-0 W	1-0 W
Alfreton Town	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cleethorpes Town (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cleethorpes Town

DWWWLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
03/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
22/09	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
12/09	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
31/08	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-0	3-0	3	2	W
28/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
25/08	Whitby England Northern Premier League	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
22/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
18/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D

Warrington Rylands

LWLLWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-3	3-3	6	2	D
03/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-1	1	2	W
29/09	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
12/09	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
29/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
25/08	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-5	1	1	L
18/08	Quorn England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cleethorpes Town vs Warrington Rylands?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cleethorpes Town win (46%). Probabilities: Cleethorpes Town 46%, draw 26%, Warrington Rylands 27%.

How many goals are expected in Cleethorpes Town vs Warrington Rylands?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Cleethorpes Town 1.58 · Warrington Rylands 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cleethorpes Town vs Warrington Rylands?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.