Football · England Northern Premier League · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Curzon Ashton vs Hyde Utd

Team pages: Curzon Ashton · Hyde Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Curzon Ashton1.99

Hyde Utd1.18

1X2

56% 23% 22%

Curzon Ashton Draw Hyde Utd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Curzon Ashton 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDLWWWWW

Hyde Utd 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Curzon Ashton 2–1–1 Hyde Utd (4 last)

Hyde Utd0-1Curzon Ashton
Hyde Utd2-0Curzon Ashton
Hyde Utd1-1Curzon Ashton
Curzon Ashton3-2Hyde Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Curzon Ashton 1558 · Hyde Utd 1471

	Curzon Ashton	Draw	Hyde Utd
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Curzon Ashton (rating 1558 vs 1471).
H2H favours Curzon Ashton: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Curzon Ashton	Hyde Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/17/17%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:32 +4’	1.60	4.00	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Curzon Ashton 2–1–1 Hyde Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/07/25 UK Friendlies	Hyde Utd	0-1 HT 0-0	Curzon Ashton
03/08/21 Club Friendly List	Hyde Utd	2-0 HT 1-0	Curzon Ashton
08/09/20 Club Friendly List	Hyde Utd	1-1 HT 1-0	Curzon Ashton
08/10/18 England Manchester Premier Cup	Curzon Ashton	3-2 HT 1-1	Hyde Utd

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	11	7	4	0	22	8	25
2	Cleethorpes Town	11	7	3	1	26	7	24
3	Avro FC	9	7	1	1	28	16	22
4	Workington	11	6	2	3	21	17	20
5	Guiseley	10	6	1	3	22	11	19
6	Warrington Rylands	11	6	1	4	17	14	19
7	Warrington Town	9	5	2	2	18	14	17
8	Bury	9	5	1	3	19	8	16
9	Curzon Ashton	9	5	1	3	18	10	16
10	Lancaster City	11	5	1	5	13	19	16
11	Alfreton Town	11	5	0	6	17	13	15
12	Hyde Utd	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
13	Gainsborough	9	4	1	4	14	12	13
14	Whitby	10	4	0	6	15	26	12
15	Ashton Utd	9	3	2	4	10	9	11
16	Emley AFC	11	2	4	5	10	22	10
17	Leek Town	10	2	3	5	19	20	9
18	Quorn	10	2	3	5	16	25	9
19	Bamber Bridge	11	2	3	6	16	31	9
20	Stockton Town	11	2	2	7	14	22	8
21	Ilkeston	11	2	1	8	7	24	7
22	FC United of Manchester	9	1	2	6	12	19	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Curzon Ashton	Hyde Utd
Lancaster City	2-0 W	2-1 W
Cleethorpes Town	3-1 W	0-1 L
Bamber Bridge	2-2 D	4-4 D
Bury	2-3 L	2-1 W
Alfreton Town	1-0 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Curzon Ashton (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Curzon Ashton

WLLDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	3-0	3-1	2	2	W
12/09	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
31/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
28/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-1	1	2	W
25/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	4-0	2	3	W
22/08	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	1-2	1-2	5	7	L
18/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
14/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W

Hyde Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
03/10	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
22/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	11	6	L
12/09	Whitby England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-3	6	1	L
31/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	4	6	D
25/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-4	6	5	L
22/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
18/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Curzon Ashton vs Hyde Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Curzon Ashton win (56%). Probabilities: Curzon Ashton 56%, draw 23%, Hyde Utd 22%.

How many goals are expected in Curzon Ashton vs Hyde Utd?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Curzon Ashton 1.99 · Hyde Utd 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Curzon Ashton vs Hyde Utd?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.