Football · England Northern Premier League · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Hyde Utd vs Whitby

Team pages: Hyde Utd · Whitby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Hyde Utd1.74

Whitby1.26

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Hyde Utd Draw Whitby

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hyde Utd 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Whitby 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hyde Utd 3–2–1 Whitby (6 last)

Whitby1-1Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd2-0Whitby
Hyde Utd5-2Whitby
Whitby1-2Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd1-1Whitby
Whitby2-1Hyde Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hyde Utd 1498 · Whitby 1427

	Hyde Utd	Draw	Whitby
Our model	48%	26%	27%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hyde Utd (rating 1498 vs 1427).
H2H favours Hyde Utd: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hyde Utd	Whitby
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.3 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/50/38%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.6	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	2.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:08 +20’	1.85	3.60	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hyde Utd 3–2–1 Whitby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	1-1	Hyde Utd
13/09/25 England FA Cup Qualification	Hyde Utd	2-0 HT 1-0	Whitby
23/08/25 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	5-2 HT 3-1	Whitby
29/03/25 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	1-2 HT 0-1	Hyde Utd
08/03/25 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	1-1 HT 0-1	Whitby
24/02/24 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	2-1	Hyde Utd

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	8	6	1	1	23	5	19
2	Avro FC	8	6	1	1	26	16	19
3	Redcar Athletic	8	5	3	0	15	4	18
4	Warrington Town	8	5	2	1	17	10	17
5	Guiseley	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
6	Bury	8	4	1	3	15	8	13
7	Curzon Ashton	8	4	1	3	16	10	13
8	Gainsborough	8	4	1	3	14	10	13
9	Workington	8	4	1	3	14	14	13
10	Alfreton Town	8	4	0	4	15	9	12
11	Warrington Rylands	8	4	0	4	11	12	12
12	Ashton Utd	8	3	2	3	10	8	11
13	Hyde Utd	8	3	2	3	9	14	11
14	Emley AFC	8	2	4	2	8	11	10
15	Lancaster City	8	3	1	4	9	15	10
16	Whitby	8	3	0	5	11	23	9
17	Ilkeston	8	2	1	5	5	18	7
18	Leek Town	8	1	3	4	15	16	6
19	Quorn	8	1	3	4	11	19	6
20	Bamber Bridge	8	1	3	4	11	22	6
21	Stockton Town	8	1	1	6	7	17	4
22	FC United of Manchester	8	0	2	6	8	18	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hyde Utd	Whitby
Alfreton Town	0-4 L	1-4 L
Warrington Town	0-3 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hyde Utd

WWDLWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	4	6	D
25/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-4	6	5	L
22/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
18/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
15/08	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	0	L
08/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	3-0	3-1	1	1	W
18/04	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Whitby

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-4	1	4	L
29/08	Quorn England Northern Premier League	–	6-3	–	–	W
25/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-3	0-6	2	2	L
22/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	–	0-5	–	–	L
18/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-2	10	2	L
15/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
25/04	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
18/04	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hyde Utd vs Whitby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hyde Utd win (48%). Probabilities: Hyde Utd 48%, draw 25%, Whitby 27%.

How many goals are expected in Hyde Utd vs Whitby?

The model expects 3 goals (Hyde Utd 1.74 · Whitby 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hyde Utd vs Whitby?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.