Football · England Northern Premier League · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Warrington Rylands vs Stockton Town
Team pages: Warrington Rylands · Stockton Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Warrington Rylands1.71
Stockton Town1.31
1X2
Warrington Rylands
Draw
Stockton Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Warrington Rylands
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Stockton Town
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Warrington Rylands
2–3
Stockton Town
(5 last)
- Warrington Rylands1-2Stockton Town
- Stockton Town3-1Warrington Rylands
- Stockton Town1-3Warrington Rylands
- Warrington Rylands1-3Stockton Town
- Warrington Rylands1-0Stockton Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Warrington Rylands 1523 · Stockton Town 1442
| Warrington Rylands | Draw | Stockton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Warrington Rylands (rating 1523 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Stockton Town: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Warrington Rylands | Stockton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 17/33/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Warrington Rylands 2–0–3 Stockton Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England Northern Premier League | Warrington Rylands | 1-2 | Stockton Town |
| 29/11/25 England Northern Premier League | Stockton Town | 3-1 | Warrington Rylands |
| 08/02/25 England Northern Premier League | Stockton Town | 1-3 | Warrington Rylands |
| 12/10/24 England Northern Premier League | Warrington Rylands | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Stockton Town |
| 02/09/23 England FA Cup Qualification | Warrington Rylands | 1-0 | Stockton Town |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Avro FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 16 | 19 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Warrington Town | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Guiseley | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Bury | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainsborough | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Workington | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Warrington Rylands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 12 | Ashton Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Hyde Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 11 |
| 14 | Emley AFC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | Lancaster City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 10 |
| 16 | Whitby | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 9 |
| 17 | Ilkeston | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 7 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 6 |
| 19 | Quorn | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
| 21 | Stockton Town | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Warrington Rylands | Stockton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Alfreton Town | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Redcar Athletic | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Hednesford | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Stockton Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warrington Rylands
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Workington England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/08 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Bury England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/08 | Lancaster City England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Hednesford England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
Stockton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Avro FC England Northern Premier League |
1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/08 | Guiseley England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | Gainsborough England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Ilkeston England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 28/04 | Hednesford England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warrington Rylands vs Stockton Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Warrington Rylands win (46%). Probabilities: Warrington Rylands 46%, draw 25%, Stockton Town 29%.
How many goals are expected in Warrington Rylands vs Stockton Town?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Warrington Rylands 1.71 · Stockton Town 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Warrington Rylands vs Stockton Town?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.