Football · England Northern Premier League · 19/08, 20:45
Prediction: Avro FC vs Workington
Team pages: Avro FC · Workington
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Avro FC1.94
Workington1.36
1X2
Avro FC
Draw
Workington
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Avro FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Workington
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Avro FC 1542 · Workington 1486
| Avro FC | Draw | Workington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avro FC (rating 1542 vs 1486).
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avro FC | Workington | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.3 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 8.2 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.3 |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Warrington Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Bury | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Gainsborough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Avro FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Alfreton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Ashton Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Whitby | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Ilkeston | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Redcar Athletic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Guiseley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Emley AFC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Hyde Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Warrington Rylands | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Curzon Ashton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | Lancaster City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Bamber Bridge | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Workington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Quorn | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avro FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Lower Breck Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Halifax UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Droylsden Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Llandudno Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Darlaston Town 1874 England Northern League Division One |
8-0 | 13-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Workington
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Guiseley England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Gainsborough England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Carlisle Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Whitehaven Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Barrow UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Warrington Town England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avro FC vs Workington?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Avro FC win (50%). Probabilities: Avro FC 50%, draw 24%, Workington 26%.
How many goals are expected in Avro FC vs Workington?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Avro FC 1.94 · Workington 1.36), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Avro FC vs Workington?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.