Football · England Northern Premier League · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Avro FC vs Quorn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Avro FC2.04
Quorn1.36
1X2
Avro FC
Draw
Quorn
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Avro FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Quorn
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Avro FC 1528 · Quorn 1475
| Avro FC | Draw | Quorn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | 53% | 22% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avro FC (rating 1528 vs 1475).
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avro FC | Quorn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 8.3 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emley AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alfreton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ashton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Avro FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bamber Bridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Curzon Ashton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC United of Manchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gainsborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guiseley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hyde Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ilkeston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lancaster City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leek Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Quorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stockton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Warrington Rylands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Warrington Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Whitby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Workington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avro FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Halifax UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Droylsden Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Llandudno Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Darlaston Town 1874 England Northern League Division One |
8-0 | 13-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 24/03 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 14/01 | Darlaston Town 1874 England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 12/11 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/10 | Runcorn Linnets England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
Quorn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Banbury UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Harborough Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Matlock Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Barwell UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avro FC vs Quorn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Avro FC win (53%). Probabilities: Avro FC 53%, draw 23%, Quorn 25%.
How many goals are expected in Avro FC vs Quorn?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Avro FC 2.04 · Quorn 1.36), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Avro FC vs Quorn?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.