Football · England Northern Premier League · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bamber Bridge vs Ashton Utd
Team pages: Bamber Bridge · Ashton Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Bamber Bridge1.12
Ashton Utd1.61
1X2
Bamber Bridge
Draw
Ashton Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bamber Bridge
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Ashton Utd
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bamber Bridge
1–3–2
Ashton Utd
(6 last)
- Bamber Bridge0-1Ashton Utd
- Ashton Utd1-1Bamber Bridge
- Bamber Bridge2-1Ashton Utd
- Ashton Utd0-0Bamber Bridge
- Bamber Bridge1-3Ashton Utd
- Ashton Utd2-2Bamber Bridge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bamber Bridge 1399 · Ashton Utd 1545
| Bamber Bridge | Draw | Ashton Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 27% | 23% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashton Utd (rating 1399 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Ashton Utd: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bamber Bridge | Ashton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.8 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/22/67% | 0/63/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bamber Bridge 1–3–2 Ashton Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 England Northern Premier League | Bamber Bridge | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ashton Utd |
| 09/09/25 England Northern Premier League | Ashton Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bamber Bridge |
| 19/04/25 England Northern Premier League | Bamber Bridge | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Ashton Utd |
| 20/08/24 England Northern Premier League | Ashton Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bamber Bridge |
| 06/04/24 England Northern Premier League | Bamber Bridge | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Ashton Utd |
| 04/11/23 England Northern Premier League | Ashton Utd | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Bamber Bridge |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Avro FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ashton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Warrington Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Ilkeston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Bury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Redcar Athletic | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Guiseley | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Alfreton Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Whitby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Lancaster City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Emley AFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC United of Manchester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Hyde Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Workington | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Quorn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bamber Bridge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Avro FC England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | Ramsbottom United Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Lostock St Gerards FC Club Friendly List |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Morecambe UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Preston UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Fleetwood Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Chorley Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Prescot Cables England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Hebburn Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
Ashton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Lancaster City England Northern Premier League |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Stalybridge UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Runcorn Linnets Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Euxton Villa Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Buxton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Hednesford England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Guiseley England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Workington England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bamber Bridge vs Ashton Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ashton Utd win (49%). Probabilities: Bamber Bridge 26%, draw 25%, Ashton Utd 49%.
How many goals are expected in Bamber Bridge vs Ashton Utd?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Bamber Bridge 1.12 · Ashton Utd 1.61), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bamber Bridge vs Ashton Utd?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.