Football · England Northern Premier League · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Lancaster City vs Hyde Utd

Team pages: Lancaster City · Hyde Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Lancaster City1.53

Hyde Utd1.14

1X2

46% 27% 28%

Lancaster City Draw Hyde Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lancaster City 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLDWLW

Hyde Utd 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLWDL

Head-to-head

Lancaster City 1–2–3 Hyde Utd (6 last)

Lancaster City1-1Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd1-0Lancaster City
Hyde Utd1-0Lancaster City
Lancaster City2-2Hyde Utd
Lancaster City0-4Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd0-3Lancaster City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lancaster City 1544 · Hyde Utd 1463

	Lancaster City	Draw	Hyde Utd
Our model	45%	28%	27%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lancaster City (rating 1544 vs 1463).
H2H favours Hyde Utd: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lancaster City	Hyde Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/33/17%	11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	1.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	0.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:54 +13’	1.95	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lancaster City 1–2–3 Hyde Utd

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/02/26 England Northern Premier League	Lancaster City	1-1	Hyde Utd
09/08/25 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	1-0	Lancaster City
01/03/25 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	1-0 HT 1-0	Lancaster City
26/10/24 England Northern Premier League	Lancaster City	2-2 HT 0-1	Hyde Utd
13/01/24 England Northern Premier League	Lancaster City	0-4	Hyde Utd
09/09/23 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	0-3 HT 0-2	Lancaster City

Standings · England Northern Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
2	Avro FC	2	2	0	0	8	2	6
3	Ashton Utd	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Warrington Town	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
5	Ilkeston	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Bury	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Redcar Athletic	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
8	Warrington Rylands	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
9	Gainsborough	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	Guiseley	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
11	Curzon Ashton	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
12	Alfreton Town	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
13	Whitby	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
14	Lancaster City	2	1	0	1	2	4	3
15	Leek Town	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	Emley AFC	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
17	FC United of Manchester	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
18	Hyde Utd	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
19	Stockton Town	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
20	Workington	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
21	Quorn	2	0	0	2	1	7	0
22	Bamber Bridge	2	0	0	2	1	8	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lancaster City

DWDWWLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
08/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	–	1-4	–	–	L
25/07	Fulwood Amateurs FC Club Friendly List	2-1	7-2	–	–	W
21/07	Preston U21 UK Friendlies	1-0	2-2	5	0	D
18/07	Charnock Richard Club Friendly List	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
14/07	Garstang FC Club Friendly List	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
25/04	Stocksbridge PS England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/04	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/04	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
06/04	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	2	D

Hyde Utd

WWLLLLLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	0	L
08/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D
28/07	Atherton Collieries UK Friendlies	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
24/07	Chester UK Friendlies	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
14/07	AFC Fylde UK Friendlies	0-2	1-3	2	0	L
11/07	Abbey Hey Club Friendly List	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
07/07	Prestwich Heys Club Friendly List	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Macclesfield UK Friendlies	0-0	0-3	2	0	L
25/04	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	3-0	3-1	1	1	W
18/04	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lancaster City vs Hyde Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lancaster City win (46%). Probabilities: Lancaster City 46%, draw 27%, Hyde Utd 28%.

How many goals are expected in Lancaster City vs Hyde Utd?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Lancaster City 1.53 · Hyde Utd 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lancaster City vs Hyde Utd?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.