Football · England Northern Premier League · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes Town
Team pages: Warrington Town · Cleethorpes Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Warrington Town1.35
Cleethorpes Town1.39
1X2
Warrington Town
Draw
Cleethorpes Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Warrington Town
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Cleethorpes Town
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Warrington Town
0–1–1
Cleethorpes Town
(2 last)
- Cleethorpes Town4-1Warrington Town
- Warrington Town0-0Cleethorpes Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Warrington Town 1466 · Cleethorpes Town 1529
| Warrington Town | Draw | Cleethorpes Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cleethorpes Town (rating 1466 vs 1529).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Warrington Town | Cleethorpes Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/25/38% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Warrington Town 0–1–1 Cleethorpes Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 England Northern Premier League | Cleethorpes Town | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Warrington Town |
| 09/08/25 England Northern Premier League | Warrington Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cleethorpes Town |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Avro FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ashton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Warrington Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Ilkeston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Bury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Redcar Athletic | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Guiseley | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Alfreton Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Whitby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Lancaster City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Emley AFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC United of Manchester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Hyde Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Workington | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Quorn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warrington Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Guiseley England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Marine UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Southport UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Chester UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Atherton Collieries Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Widnes Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Morpeth Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Workington England Northern Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
Cleethorpes Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Grimsby Borough UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | Club Thorne Colliery Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Harrogate Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Grimsby Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Beverley Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Whitby England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Hednesford England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Hebburn Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cleethorpes Town win (37%). Probabilities: Warrington Town 36%, draw 27%, Cleethorpes Town 37%.
How many goals are expected in Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes Town?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Warrington Town 1.35 · Cleethorpes Town 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.