Football · England Northern Premier League · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Cleethorpes Town vs Bamber Bridge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Cleethorpes Town1.53

Bamber Bridge1.05

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Cleethorpes Town Draw Bamber Bridge

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cleethorpes Town 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLDWDLWD

Bamber Bridge 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Cleethorpes Town 2–2–0 Bamber Bridge (4 last)

Bamber Bridge0-2Cleethorpes Town
Cleethorpes Town1-1Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge0-5Cleethorpes Town
Cleethorpes Town3-3Bamber Bridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cleethorpes Town 1511 · Bamber Bridge 1402

	Cleethorpes Town	Draw	Bamber Bridge
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cleethorpes Town (rating 1511 vs 1402).
H2H favours Cleethorpes Town: 2-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cleethorpes Town	Bamber Bridge
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	0.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	13/63/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.83▲	Pinn 1.97 ★
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	4.00 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:01 +4’	1.67	3.75	4.00
16:41 +24’	1.83▲	3.60▼	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:05 +1’	1.99	3.45	3.20
21:09 +8’	1.97▼	3.47▲	3.23▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cleethorpes Town 2–2–0 Bamber Bridge

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	0-2 HT 0-0	Cleethorpes Town
16/08/25 England Northern Premier League	Cleethorpes Town	1-1 HT 0-1	Bamber Bridge
25/09/18 England FA Cup Qualification	Bamber Bridge	0-5 HT 0-3	Cleethorpes Town
22/09/18 England FA Cup Qualification	Cleethorpes Town	3-3 HT 2-1	Bamber Bridge

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Emley AFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alfreton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ashton Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Avro FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bamber Bridge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bury	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cleethorpes Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Curzon Ashton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC United of Manchester	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gainsborough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guiseley	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hyde Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ilkeston	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lancaster City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leek Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Quorn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Redcar Athletic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stockton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Warrington Rylands	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Warrington Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Whitby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Workington	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cleethorpes Town

WDLLDWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Grimsby Borough UK Friendlies	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
21/07	Club Thorne Colliery Club Friendly List	4-0	6-1	–	–	W
18/07	Harrogate Town UK Friendlies	0-0	0-1	10	0	L
11/07	Grimsby Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	Beverley Town Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	Whitby England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
18/04	Hednesford England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
11/04	Hebburn Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-4	–	–	L
06/04	Workington England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
02/04	Stocksbridge PS England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	4	W

Bamber Bridge

LLDLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Morecambe UK Friendlies	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
14/07	Preston UK Friendlies	1-1	1-4	0	1	L
11/07	Fleetwood Town Club Friendly List	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
04/07	Chorley Club Friendly List	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	Prescot Cables England Northern Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	Hebburn Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
11/04	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
06/04	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
03/04	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-3	6	0	L
28/03	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	4	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cleethorpes Town vs Bamber Bridge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cleethorpes Town win (48%). Probabilities: Cleethorpes Town 48%, draw 26%, Bamber Bridge 26%.

How many goals are expected in Cleethorpes Town vs Bamber Bridge?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Cleethorpes Town 1.53 · Bamber Bridge 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cleethorpes Town vs Bamber Bridge?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.