Football · England Northern Premier League · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Guiseley vs Warrington Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Guiseley1.79
Warrington Town1.14
1X2
Guiseley
Draw
Warrington Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Guiseley
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Warrington Town
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guiseley
2–1–2
Warrington Town
(5 last)
- Guiseley4-0Warrington Town
- Warrington Town2-0Guiseley
- Warrington Town0-0Guiseley
- Warrington Town0-1Guiseley
- Guiseley1-3Warrington Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guiseley 1549 · Warrington Town 1428
| Guiseley | Draw | Warrington Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guiseley (rating 1549 vs 1428).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guiseley | Warrington Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guiseley 2–1–2 Warrington Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 England Northern Premier League | Guiseley | 4-0 | Warrington Town |
| 18/10/25 England Northern Premier League | Warrington Town | 2-0 | Guiseley |
| 18/02/23 England Northern Premier League | Warrington Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guiseley |
| 19/11/22 England FA Trophy | Warrington Town | 0-1 | Guiseley |
| 05/11/22 England Northern Premier League | Guiseley | 1-3 | Warrington Town |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emley AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alfreton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ashton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Avro FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bamber Bridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Curzon Ashton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC United of Manchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gainsborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guiseley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hyde Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ilkeston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lancaster City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leek Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Quorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stockton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Warrington Rylands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Warrington Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Whitby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Workington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guiseley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Pontefract Collieries UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Blackburn U23 Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Garforth Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 17/07 | Stocksbridge PS UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Tadcaster Albion Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Harrogate Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Gainsborough England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Warrington Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Marine UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Southport UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Chester UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Atherton Collieries Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Widnes Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Morpeth Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Workington England Northern Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 06/04 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Ilkeston England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guiseley vs Warrington Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guiseley win (51%). Probabilities: Guiseley 51%, draw 26%, Warrington Town 23%.
How many goals are expected in Guiseley vs Warrington Town?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Guiseley 1.79 · Warrington Town 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Guiseley vs Warrington Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.