Football · England Northern Premier League · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Hyde Utd vs Emley AFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Hyde Utd1.36

Emley AFC0.9

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Hyde Utd Draw Emley AFC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hyde Utd 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Emley AFC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDWLDLDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hyde Utd 1467 · Emley AFC 1506

	Hyde Utd	Draw	Emley AFC
Our model	46%	30%	24%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hyde Utd	Emley AFC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:00 +4’	1.83	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Emley AFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alfreton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ashton Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Avro FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bamber Bridge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bury	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cleethorpes Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Curzon Ashton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC United of Manchester	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gainsborough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guiseley	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hyde Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ilkeston	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lancaster City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leek Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Quorn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Redcar Athletic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stockton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Warrington Rylands	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Warrington Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Whitby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Workington	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hyde Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	Atherton Collieries UK Friendlies	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
24/07	Chester UK Friendlies	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
14/07	AFC Fylde UK Friendlies	0-2	1-3	2	0	L
11/07	Abbey Hey Club Friendly List	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
07/07	Prestwich Heys Club Friendly List	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Macclesfield UK Friendlies	0-0	0-3	2	0	L
25/04	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	3-0	3-1	1	1	W
18/04	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
11/04	Whitby England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/04	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	4	W

Emley AFC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Pontefract Collieries Club Friendly List	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
28/07	Ossett United Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/07	Mossley UK Friendlies	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
21/07	Liversedge Club Friendly List	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	Horbury Town Club Friendly List	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
17/07	Penistone Church Club Friendly List	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
14/07	Rotherham Club Friendly List	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
11/07	Garforth Town Club Friendly List	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
02/05	Bradford P A England Northern League Division One	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
28/04	Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One	1-0	1-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hyde Utd vs Emley AFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hyde Utd win (48%). Probabilities: Hyde Utd 48%, draw 27%, Emley AFC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Hyde Utd vs Emley AFC?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Hyde Utd 1.36 · Emley AFC 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hyde Utd vs Emley AFC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.